Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Çorum FK are the favourites at 2.38 (about 42% implied), ahead of Kasimpasa SK at 3.1 (about 32%).
The draw at 3.6 implies roughly 28%, underlining a reasonably balanced set of prices.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.89 sits near a coin-flip at about 51% implied confidence.
No selection cleared our value threshold, and the goals lean carries a negative edge of -4.27%.
Team form
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
Head-to-head: Çorum FK v Kasimpasa SK
W/D/L shown from Çorum FK's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Çorum FK vs Kasimpasa SK: pre-match preview
This Süper Lig meeting sees Çorum FK host Kasimpasa SK, and the market leans towards the home side. Çorum FK are priced at 2.38, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 42%, while Kasimpasa SK at 3.1 sit around 32%. The draw is quoted at 3.6, or about 28% in probability terms, so bookmakers see this as a competitive fixture rather than a one-sided one. The gap between the two teams is modest, meaning Kasimpasa are given a realistic path to a result on the road. Our model's attention falls not on the match result but on the goals market: Over 2.5 goals at 1.89 with Pinnacle carries a market-implied confidence of around 51%. Note, however, that this selection shows a negative value edge of -4.27%, so it is flagged as a lean rather than a standout value play in this matchup.
Verdict: The lean is Over 2.5 goals at 1.89, sitting near 51% implied probability. With a negative value edge of -4.27% and no picks above threshold, treat this as a marginal call rather than a strong edge. Stake modestly and only within a sensible bankroll.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 0-1, for a flat-stake return of +1.44 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Süper Lig fixtures
All Süper Lig tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 18:30 | Kocaelispor v Amed SK | 2.46 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| 28 Aug 18:30 | Genclerbirligi SK v Erzurum BB | 2.19 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| 29 Aug 16:00 | Torku Konyaspor v Kocaelispor | 2.10 | 3.65 | 3.71 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | Galatasaray v Goztepe | 1.44 | 5.20 | 7.80 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | Gazişehir Gaziantep v Çaykur Rizespor | 2.59 | 3.62 | 2.71 |
| 30 Aug 16:00 | Eyüpspor v Alanyaspor | 3.28 | 3.40 | 2.34 |
| 30 Aug 18:30 | Samsunspor v Fenerbahce | 5.25 | 4.36 | 1.65 |
| 30 Aug 18:30 | Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK | 1.65 | 4.21 | 5.40 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Kasimpasa SK to win at odds of 2.44.
Çorum FK are favourites at 2.38, an implied probability of roughly 42%, while Kasimpasa SK are priced at 3.1, around 32%.
The draw is priced at 3.6 with Coolbet, which implies approximately a 28% chance.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.89 actually shows a negative value edge of -4.27%, so it is only a marginal lean.
The tip won — final score 0-1 (+1.44u at flat stakes).