La Liga 2 · Sun · 19:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 · how we work
Burgos CF are market favourites at 2.57, implying a win probability near 39%.
Sabadell FC and the draw share identical odds of 3.10, each implying about 32% probability, pointing to a tightly contested match-result market.
No match-result value picks versus market consensus cleared the site's threshold for this fixture.
The Over 1.5 goals recommendation at 1.45 carries a negative value edge of -8.23%, meaning the price implies a higher probability (about 69%) than the model's 63% confidence figure.
| Bookmaker | 1 · BC | X | 2 · SF |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.60 | 3.13 | 2.95 |
| Pinnacle | 2.67 | 3.04 | 2.90 |
| Coolbet | 2.65 | 3.10 | 2.85 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48 | 3.10 | 2.95 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48 | 3.10 | 2.95 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.52 | 3.04 | 2.86 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Burgos CF host Sabadell FC in a La Liga 2 clash where the betting market makes the home side a moderate favourite. Best prices put Burgos CF at 2.57, implying a win probability of roughly 39%, while Sabadell FC drift to 3.10 (about 32%) and the draw sits at the same 3.10 price (also near 32%). That tight spread between the visitors and the draw suggests bookmakers see this as a closely contested fixture with no dominant side. Rather than picking a match-result winner, our model points to the goals market, recommending Over 1.5 goals at 1.45, a line the market prices at roughly 69% to land, with our model's own confidence sitting at 63%. This suggests the Over 1.5 line may be shorter than our assessment of the true probability, though it remains the standout option among the data supplied for this La Liga 2 meeting.
Verdict: The clearest angle in the data is Over 1.5 goals at 1.45, though the -8.23% value edge shows the price is shorter than our model's 63% confidence would suggest is fair. This is best treated as a moderate-risk lean rather than a strong value bet, with stakes sized responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 18:30 | Leganés v Córdoba | 2.33 | 3.67 | 3.25 |
| 17 Oct 12:00 | Real Sociedad B v Almería | 3.54 | 3.75 | 2.05 |
| 17 Oct 14:15 | SD Eibar v Mallorca | 2.64 | 3.30 | 2.93 |
| 17 Oct 16:30 | Sporting Gijón v Albacete | 2.00 | 3.63 | 3.90 |
| 17 Oct 19:00 | Las Palmas v CD Castellón | 3.53 | 3.85 | 2.10 |
| 18 Oct 12:00 | AD Ceuta FC v Oviedo | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| 18 Oct 14:15 | Granada CF v Cádiz CF | 1.90 | 3.69 | 4.35 |
| 18 Oct 16:30 | Girona FC v Andorra CF | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.45, with a 64% confidence rating.
Burgos CF are favoured, priced at 2.57 for the win, which implies a probability of about 39 percent, the shortest of the three match-result outcomes.
The draw is available at 3.10, the same best price as a Sabadell FC win, implying roughly 32 percent probability for each outcome.
No match-result selections cleared the site's value threshold against market consensus. The recommended angle is Over 1.5 goals at 1.45, though its -8.23 percent edge means it is not a strong value pick either, just the most data-supported option available.
Burgos CF vs Sabadell FC takes place Sun · 19:00 in the La Liga 2.
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