English ⚽ La Liga 2 🕒 16 Aug 2026
Our tip
Burgos CF to win
Odds
2.35
WonResult
3-2Final score
+1.35uProfit
45%Pre-match conf.
-2.08%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Pinnacle
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Burgos CF are the favourites at 2.34 (about 43% implied), but the margin over Córdoba is far from commanding.
02
Córdoba at 3.29 and the draw at 3.35 are priced almost identically, pointing to a closely matched away-versus-draw scenario.
03
The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 implies roughly 55% confidence in a lower-scoring outcome.
04
The value edge on the Under pick is negative (-4.14%), so no selection here clears our value threshold.
Team form
BC Burgos CF WWDDL
20 Sept 26 @ Las Palmas 2-1
11 Sept 26 vs AD Ceuta FC 3-1
6 Sept 26 @ Oviedo 0-0
31 Aug 26 vs Real Sociedad B 2-2
23 Aug 26 @ Sporting Gijón 0-1
CÓR Córdoba WLLLW
18 Sept 26 @ Albacete 2-1
12 Sept 26 vs Almería 0-2
7 Sept 26 @ Sabadell FC 2-3
30 Aug 26 vs Granada CF 1-3
21 Aug 26 vs Girona FC 2-1
Head-to-head: Burgos CF v Córdoba
W 16 Aug 26
Burgos CF 3-2 CórdobaLa Liga 2
W/D/L shown from Burgos CF's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Burgos CF vs Córdoba: pre-match preview
Burgos CF host Córdoba in this La Liga 2 clash, and the market clearly leans towards the home side. Burgos are priced at 2.34, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 43%, marking them as modest favourites. Córdoba, at 3.29, sit at about 30% in implied terms, while the draw is close behind at 3.35, or around 30%. The tight gap between the away win and the draw suggests bookmakers see this as a fairly balanced contest away from Burgos' home edge, rather than a lopsided mismatch. Our model steers away from the match-result market and instead flags Under 2.5 goals at 1.73, carrying an implied confidence near 55%. It is worth noting the calculated value edge here is negative at -4.14%, meaning the price does not offer standout value. The pick reflects a lean towards a lower-scoring game rather than a strong quantitative advantage.
Verdict: The model's lean is Under 2.5 goals at 1.73, reflecting a slight tilt towards a tighter, lower-scoring game. However, with a negative value edge of -4.14%, this is not a strong-value play. Treat it as a modest-confidence pick and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 3-2, for a flat-stake return of +1.35 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming La Liga 2 fixtures
All La Liga 2 tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 18:30 | Leganés v Córdoba | 2.33 | 3.67 | 3.25 |
| 17 Oct 12:00 | Real Sociedad B v Almería | 3.54 | 3.75 | 2.05 |
| 17 Oct 14:15 | SD Eibar v Mallorca | 2.64 | 3.30 | 2.93 |
| 17 Oct 16:30 | Sporting Gijón v Albacete | 2.00 | 3.63 | 3.90 |
| 17 Oct 19:00 | Las Palmas v CD Castellón | 3.53 | 3.85 | 2.10 |
| 18 Oct 12:00 | AD Ceuta FC v Oviedo | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| 18 Oct 14:15 | Granada CF v Cádiz CF | 1.90 | 3.69 | 4.35 |
| 18 Oct 16:30 | Girona FC v Andorra CF | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Burgos CF vs Córdoba?+
Our tip was Burgos CF to win at odds of 2.35.
Who is the favourite in Burgos CF vs Córdoba?+
Burgos CF are the favourites at 2.34 with Pinnacle, implying about a 43% chance. Córdoba are the underdogs at 3.29, around 30% implied.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.35 with 1xBet, an implied probability of roughly 30%. That is very close to Córdoba's away-win price, suggesting a balanced contest.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 actually shows a negative value edge of -4.14%, so it is a low-value lean rather than a standout pick.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 3-2 (+1.35u at flat stakes).