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Hausa 
አማርኛ ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 Sun · 22:30
Our tip
Bahia to win
Odds
2.02
★ Official pick — published to our graded record · backed by our goal model
ConfidenceValue · 51%
AI Value edge 3.85% · best price at Unibet (NL)
Bet at Unibet (NL) Our prediction
Key factors behind our tip
01
Bahia are favourites at 1.96 (about 51% implied), with Internacional a distant second at 4.12 (about 24%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.6, implying roughly a 28% chance of the points being shared.
03
Our recommended Over 2.5 goals bet sits at 2.03 with market-implied confidence near 47%.
04
That goals pick shows a negative value edge of -4.04%, so the price is slightly worse than fair value by our model.
Most likely scorelines
Both teams to score: 45%| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 14.0% | 7.17 |
| 1-1 | 11.6% | 8.61 |
| 2-0 | 11.3% | 8.87 |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | 10.64 |
| 0-0 | 8.6% | 11.60 |
| 0-1 | 7.2% | 13.91 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.62 and 0.83. These six scorelines cover 62% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Team form
BAH Bahia WDDDD
23 Aug 26 @ Vitória 2-0
16 Aug 26 @ Chapecoense 3-3
9 Aug 26 vs Vasco da Gama 0-0
30 Jul 26 @ Fluminense 0-0
26 Jul 26 vs Corinthians 1-1
INT Internacional DDDDL
22 Aug 26 vs Mineiro 0-0
17 Aug 26 vs Clube do Remo 1-1
9 Aug 26 @ Palmeiras 0-0
29 Jul 26 vs Flamengo 1-1
25 Jul 26 @ Paranaense 0-2
Head-to-head: Bahia v Internacional
Full H2H history → W 15 Mar 26
Internacional 0-1 BahiaBrasileirão
D 8 Nov 25
Internacional 2-2 BahiaBrasileirão
W 22 Oct 25
Bahia 1-0 InternacionalBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Bahia's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Best odds across bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 · BAH | X | 2 · INT |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.56 | 4.05 |
| Coolbet | 1.93 | 3.75 | 3.85 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.92 | 3.70 | 3.88 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 3.69 | 3.96 |
| GTbets | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.96 |
| Matchbook | 1.89 | 3.65 | 3.90 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Bahia vs Internacional: match preview
This Brasileirão clash sends Bahia out as clear home favourites against Internacional, and the market makes that stance plain. At a best price of 1.96, Bahia are priced at roughly a 51% implied chance, while Internacional drift out to 4.12, translating to around 24%. The draw sits at 3.6, or about 28% in probability terms. Those numbers point to a contest the bookmakers expect Bahia to edge, though the visitors' price still leaves room for an upset. Our model steps away from the match-result line entirely and instead looks at goals, recommending Over 2.5 at 2.03 with a market-implied confidence of about 47%. Notably, that pick carries a negative value edge of -4.04%, meaning the price does not currently offer an advantage over the market's own read. It is a preview built on the odds rather than any claimed inside information on either side.
Verdict: The model leans to Over 2.5 goals at 2.03, a near coin-flip at roughly 47% implied. Be aware the -4.04% edge means no pricing advantage here, so treat it as a modest-confidence angle rather than a standout play, and stake within a sensible bankroll.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 23:00 | Botafogo v Atletico Paranaense | 2.46 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| 29 Aug 21:30 | Atletico Mineiro v Vitoria | 1.78 | 3.75 | 5.29 |
| 29 Aug 23:00 | Sao Paulo v Bragantino-SP | 2.22 | 3.40 | 3.56 |
| 30 Aug 00:20 | Vasco da Gama v Cruzeiro | 2.51 | 3.40 | 3.04 |
| 30 Aug 14:00 | Atletico Paranaense v Fluminense | 2.31 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| 30 Aug 19:00 | Corinthians v Santos | 1.88 | 3.62 | 4.75 |
| 30 Aug 19:00 | Flamengo v Botafogo | 1.47 | 4.50 | 7.25 |
| 30 Aug 21:30 | Grêmio v Chapecoense | 1.56 | 4.25 | 6.60 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | +24 | 51 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | +24 | 45 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | +11 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | +7 | 41 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +1 | 39 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | +6 | 37 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | +5 | 35 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 34 |
| 9 | Mineiro | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | +3 | 33 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | +2 | 32 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 | Vitória | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 29 |
| 13 | São Paulo | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 27 |
| 14 | Santos | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | Internacional | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | -4 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -10 | 24 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -11 | 23 |
| 19 | Vasco da Gama | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -14 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -22 | 14 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What is the prediction for Bahia vs Internacional?+
Our tip is Bahia to win at odds of 2.02, with a 51% confidence rating.
Who is the favourite for Bahia vs Internacional?+
Bahia are the favourites at a best price of 1.96, implying about a 51% chance. Internacional are the outsiders at 4.12, around 24%.
What are the draw odds for this match?+
The draw is available at 3.6 with Coolbet, which works out to roughly a 28% implied probability.
Is there value in this fixture?+
No value pick cleared our threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.03 actually shows a negative edge of -4.04%, meaning the price is marginally below fair value.
When does the match kick off?+
Bahia vs Internacional takes place Sun · 22:30 in the Brasileirão.