Greek Super League · Sun · 16:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 · how we work
Panathinaikos are priced at 1.48, implying roughly a 68 percent chance of victory according to the market.
Volos FC's 6.47 price implies only about a 15 percent win probability, reflecting their underdog status.
The draw at 4.33 implies around 23 percent, a secondary outcome rather than a market favourite.
The Over 2.5 goals recommendation at 1.72 carries a slight negative value edge of -5.45 percent, meaning the model's confidence trails the price's implied probability.
| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | 12.2% | 8.22 |
| 1-1 | 11.9% | 8.40 |
| 0-2 | 9.7% | 10.30 |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | 10.53 |
| 0-0 | 7.6% | 13.12 |
| 1-0 | 7.4% | 13.42 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 0.98 and 1.60. These six scorelines cover 58% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
| Bookmaker | 1 · VF | X | 2 · PAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.95 | 4.45 | 1.39 |
| Betsson | 8.10 | 4.45 | 1.36 |
| Nordic Bet | 8.10 | 4.45 | 1.36 |
| 888sport | 7.50 | 4.00 | 1.40 |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 4.00 | 1.40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.75 | 4.30 | 1.32 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Volos FC host Panathinaikos in a Greek Super League fixture where the betting market leaves little doubt about the balance of power. Panathinaikos are priced at 1.48 with Betsson, which implies a win probability of roughly 68 percent, making them clear favourites on paper. Volos, by contrast, sit out at 6.47 with 1xBet, translating to an implied chance of around 15 percent, while the draw is priced at 4.33, implying about 23 percent. Rather than backing the outright result, our model points toward the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 1.72 with Betsson. That price implies a fair probability near 58 percent, though the model's own confidence sits a touch lower at 55 percent, resulting in a modest negative value edge. No additional value picks against market consensus were identified for this fixture, so the goals line stands as the single data-backed angle worth weighing before kick-off.
Verdict: The Over 2.5 goals pick at 1.72 reflects a reasonably balanced goals market rather than a clear mispricing, with the model's 55 percent confidence slightly under the odds' implied value. It is a plausible lean given Panathinaikos' strong favourite status, but the negative edge suggests treating it as moderate risk rather than a standout opportunity.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 14:00 | Levadiakos v Volos FC | 2.24 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| 17 Oct 16:30 | Atromitos Athens v AEK Athens | 7.50 | 3.90 | 1.44 |
| 18 Oct 13:00 | Kalamata FC v OFI Crete | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| 18 Oct 14:00 | Panetolikos Agrinio v Olympiakos Piraeus | 10.00 | 5.25 | 1.34 |
| 18 Oct 14:30 | Panathinaikos v Asteras Tripolis | 1.26 | 6.80 | 14.10 |
| 18 Oct 17:00 | AE Kifisia FC v Aris Thessaloniki | 3.10 | 3.43 | 2.38 |
| 18 Oct 18:00 | PAOK Thessaloniki v Iraklis FC | 1.27 | 6.20 | 12.50 |
| 24 Oct 16:00 | Iraklis FC v AE Kifisia FC | 2.54 | 3.12 | 2.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.75, with a 54% confidence rating.
Panathinaikos are strong favourites according to the odds, priced at 1.48, which implies around a 68 percent win probability.
The draw is available at 4.33 with 1xBet, implying roughly a 23 percent chance according to the market.
The model recommends Over 2.5 goals at 1.72, but its own confidence of 55 percent is slightly below the price's implied probability, giving a small negative value edge of -5.45 percent, so it should be viewed as a moderate-risk option rather than a clear value bet.
Volos FC vs Panathinaikos takes place Sun · 16:00 in the Greek Super League.
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