Greek Super League · Sun · 13:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work
Kalamata FC are priced as marginal favourites at 2.42, implying roughly a 41% win probability
OFI Crete's 3.05 price implies about 33% chance of an away win, keeping the gap to the favourite modest
The draw at 3.10 (implied ~32%) is priced almost as tightly as the away win, reflecting an unpredictable match-result market
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.22 carries a -5.35% value edge, meaning the model does not see it as clear value despite being the standout pick
| Bookmaker | 1 · KF | X | 2 · OC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.42 | 3.05 | 3.04 |
| Betsson | 2.32 | 3.10 | 3.05 |
| Nordic Bet | 2.32 | 3.05 | 3.00 |
| 888sport | 2.40 | 2.90 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 2.90 | 3.00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.28 | 3.05 | 2.95 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Kalamata FC host OFI Crete in a Greek Super League clash where the betting market leans, but not heavily, toward the home side. Best odds of 2.42 on Kalamata imply a win probability of roughly 41%, while OFI Crete's 3.05 price points to about 33%. The draw sits at 3.10, translating to around 32%, meaning all three outcomes remain fairly closely bunched and the fixture looks competitive on paper. Rather than picking a side in the match-result market, our model flags the Over 2.5 goals line at 2.22 as the recommended angle, carrying a market-implied confidence of 43%. It's worth noting this comes with a negative value edge of -5.35%, so it's not being flagged as a mispriced market bargain but as the most statistically interesting angle available from this data set. No other selections cleared the site's value threshold for this game.
Verdict: With no value picks clearing threshold in the match-result market, the Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.22 is the closest thing to a recommendation here, though its negative edge (-5.35%) signals caution rather than confidence. Treat it as a moderate-risk option rather than a strong value play, and size stakes accordingly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:00 | Panetolikos Agrinio v PAOK Thessaloniki | 170.00 | 29.00 | 1.03 |
| 10 Oct 15:00 | PAOK Thessaloniki v Kalamata FC | 1.25 | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | AEK Athens v OFI Crete | 1.20 | 6.10 | 14.00 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Asteras Tripolis v Atromitos Athens | 2.45 | 3.16 | 2.89 |
| 11 Oct 14:00 | Iraklis FC v Levadiakos | 2.47 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| 11 Oct 14:00 | AE Kifisia FC v Panetolikos Agrinio | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.55 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Aris Thessaloniki v Volos FC | 1.77 | 3.60 | 5.15 |
| 11 Oct 18:00 | Olympiakos Piraeus v Panathinaikos | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.39 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.22, with a 43% confidence rating.
Kalamata FC are the market favourites at odds of 2.42, implying a win probability of around 41%, compared to OFI Crete's 3.05 (about 33%).
The best available draw odds are 3.10, which implies a probability of roughly 32%, keeping it close to the away win price.
No selections cleared the site's value threshold against market consensus; the recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.22 actually carries a -5.35% value edge, so it should be viewed as a model preference rather than a clear pricing edge.
Kalamata FC vs OFI Crete takes place Sun · 13:00 in the Greek Super League.
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