Danish Superliga · Sun · 12:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 · how we work
SonderjyskE are favoured at 2.5 (about 40% implied probability), only marginally ahead of Silkeborg at 2.8 (about 35.7%)
The draw is priced highest at 3.7, implying roughly 27% probability, suggesting the market leans toward a result rather than a stalemate
The combined implied probabilities exceed 100% (around 102.7%), reflecting normal bookmaker margin rather than a strong lean toward any outcome
The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 2.3 carries a negative value edge of about -6%, meaning the model does not see it as a clear value play despite flagging it
| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.9% | 9.17 |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | 11.01 |
| 1-0 | 7.8% | 12.74 |
| 1-2 | 7.6% | 13.19 |
| 0-1 | 6.6% | 15.24 |
| 2-0 | 6.5% | 15.31 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.66 and 1.39. These six scorelines cover 49% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
| Bookmaker | 1 · SON | X | 2 · SI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.50 | 3.68 | 2.65 |
| Betsson | 2.48 | 3.65 | 2.68 |
| Coolbet | 2.45 | 3.85 | 2.60 |
| GTbets | 2.40 | 3.71 | 2.68 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.47 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| Nordic Bet | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.62 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
SonderjyskE host Silkeborg IF in a Danish Superliga clash where the bookmakers see little daylight between the two sides. SonderjyskE are priced as narrow favourites at 2.5 with Tipico, implying a win probability of roughly 40 percent, while Silkeborg sit close behind at 2.8 (about 35.7 percent) with Unibet. The draw is the least favoured outcome at 3.7, translating to around 27 percent. Those figures point to a tightly contested match with no side holding a decisive edge. Away from the match-result market, our model's recommended angle is Over 3.5 goals at 2.3 with Unibet, an outcome the market prices at an implied 41 percent likelihood. It's worth noting the model flags this selection with a negative value edge of roughly -6 percent, so it should be viewed as a plausible scenario rather than a mispriced opportunity. No value picks versus the broader market consensus were identified for the result market itself.
Verdict: The match-result market is close to a toss-up, with SonderjyskE holding a slight edge over Silkeborg and the draw least favoured. The highlighted Over 3.5 goals bet at 2.3 reflects a plausible high-scoring scenario, but its negative value edge means it should be treated cautiously rather than as a strong recommendation. Stake sensibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 17:00 | AC Horsens v Randers FC | 2.85 | 3.62 | 2.50 |
| 18 Oct 12:00 | Lyngby v FC Nordsjaelland | 3.90 | 4.20 | 1.90 |
| 18 Oct 14:00 | OB Odense BK v Brondby IF | 3.05 | 3.75 | 2.25 |
| 18 Oct 16:00 | FC Copenhagen v AGF Aarhus | 1.68 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| 19 Oct 17:00 | Viborg FF v FC Midtjylland | 2.95 | 3.88 | 2.32 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 2.35, with a 40% confidence rating.
SonderjyskE are the slight favourites at odds of 2.5, implying roughly a 40% win probability, just ahead of Silkeborg at 2.8 (about 35.7%).
The draw is priced at 3.7 with Unibet, which implies an approximate 27% probability, making it the least likely outcome according to the market.
No standout value picks were identified against the broader market consensus for the match result. The model's one highlighted angle, Over 3.5 goals at 2.3, actually shows a negative value edge of about -6%, so it is not a strong value bet by the model's own measure.
SonderjyskE vs Silkeborg IF takes place Sun · 12:00 in the Danish Superliga.
English