Danish Superliga · Sun · 16:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 · how we work
| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 9.6% | 10.40 |
| 1-1 | 9.5% | 10.56 |
| 2-0 | 7.5% | 13.37 |
| 1-0 | 7.4% | 13.59 |
| 3-1 | 6.5% | 15.36 |
| 2-2 | 6.2% | 16.16 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 2.03 and 1.29. These six scorelines cover 47% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
| Bookmaker | 1 · FC | X | 2 · AA |
|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.66 | 4.19 | 4.77 |
| Coolbet | 1.68 | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66 | 4.15 | 4.69 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.64 | 4.10 | 4.70 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63 | 4.10 | 4.75 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63 | 4.10 | 4.75 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
FC Copenhagen host AGF Aarhus in a Danish Superliga fixture where the market leaves little doubt about the favourite. Copenhagen's best price of 1.57 with Unibet implies a win probability of roughly 64 percent, a strong signal of home dominance in the odds. AGF Aarhus, at 5.25 with Betclic, is priced at around 19 percent, while the draw sits at 4.4 with 1xBet, implying close to 23 percent. These numbers point to a lopsided contest on paper, at least as far as the bookmakers are concerned. Away from the match-result market, the site's model flags Over 3.5 goals at 2.33 with 1xBet as its recommended angle, built around a 42 percent confidence read rather than the win-draw-win prices. Bettors weighing this fixture should treat the headline favourite tag with normal caution and consider how the goals market fits alongside it.
Verdict:
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 17:00 | AC Horsens v Randers FC | 2.85 | 3.62 | 2.50 |
| 18 Oct 12:00 | Lyngby v FC Nordsjaelland | 3.90 | 4.20 | 1.90 |
| 18 Oct 12:00 | SonderjyskE v Silkeborg IF | 2.50 | 3.85 | 2.70 |
| 18 Oct 14:00 | OB Odense BK v Brondby IF | 3.05 | 3.75 | 2.25 |
| 19 Oct 17:00 | Viborg FF v FC Midtjylland | 2.95 | 3.88 | 2.32 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 2.40, with a 39% confidence rating.
FC Copenhagen vs AGF Aarhus takes place Sun · 16:00 in the Danish Superliga.
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