Danish Superliga · Sun · 14:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 · how we work
Brondby IF are favoured at 2.2, implying about 45.5 percent win probability, versus 31.8 percent for OB Odense BK at 3.14.
The draw at 3.7 implies roughly 27 percent, keeping it a live outcome in a market that isn't heavily skewed toward one result.
Combined implied probabilities across the three outcomes sit above 100 percent, reflecting the standard bookmaker margin built into these prices.
The Over 2.5 goals price of 1.6 implies about 62.5 percent, slightly higher than the model's 60 percent confidence, giving a negative value edge of roughly -3.5 percent.
| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.1% | 8.25 |
| 0-1 | 9.5% | 10.57 |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | 11.42 |
| 1-0 | 8.4% | 11.92 |
| 2-1 | 7.8% | 12.89 |
| 0-2 | 6.8% | 14.62 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.28 and 1.45. These six scorelines cover 53% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
| Bookmaker | 1 · OOB | X | 2 · BI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.95 | 3.75 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 3.03 | 3.73 | 2.21 |
| Betsson | 3.05 | 3.65 | 2.22 |
| GTbets | 3.05 | 3.68 | 2.17 |
| Nordic Bet | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 3.02 | 3.64 | 2.15 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Brondby IF head into this Danish Superliga meeting with OB Odense BK as the clear market favourites, priced at 2.2 with 888sport, which implies a win probability of roughly 45 percent. OB Odense sit at 3.14 with Pinnacle, translating to around 32 percent, while the draw is priced at 3.7 with Unibet (SE), implying about 27 percent. Those numbers show a moderately one-sided contest on paper rather than a lopsided mismatch, with the draw still carrying meaningful weight in the market's view. Away from the result market, the model's attention turns to goals: Over 2.5 goals is quoted at 1.6 with 1xBet, reflecting an implied probability near 62.5 percent against the model's own 60 percent confidence read, producing a small negative value edge. No side of the match-result market clears the site's value threshold this time, so this goals-based angle is the only recommendation on the table.
Verdict: The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.6 carries a modest negative edge by the model's own measure, meaning the market price is marginally richer than the model's estimate justifies. It is not flagged as a strong value play, so bettors should treat it as a moderate-confidence option rather than a standout opportunity, and size stakes with care.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 17:00 | AC Horsens v Randers FC | 2.85 | 3.62 | 2.50 |
| 18 Oct 12:00 | Lyngby v FC Nordsjaelland | 3.90 | 4.20 | 1.90 |
| 18 Oct 12:00 | SonderjyskE v Silkeborg IF | 2.50 | 3.85 | 2.70 |
| 18 Oct 16:00 | FC Copenhagen v AGF Aarhus | 1.68 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| 19 Oct 17:00 | Viborg FF v FC Midtjylland | 2.95 | 3.88 | 2.32 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.62, with a 60% confidence rating.
Brondby IF are the market favourites at odds of 2.2, which implies a win probability of roughly 45.5 percent, compared with about 31.8 percent for OB Odense BK at 3.14.
The draw is available at 3.7 with Unibet (SE), implying a probability of around 27 percent, so it remains a realistic outcome according to the market.
No match-result selection clears the site's value threshold for this fixture. The featured recommendation is Over 2.5 goals at 1.6, though it carries a slight negative value edge of about -3.5 percent rather than a clear market mispricing.
OB Odense BK vs Brondby IF takes place Sun · 14:00 in the Danish Superliga.
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