Swiss Super League · Sat · 16:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 · how we work
Servette are priced at 1.8 for the win, implying roughly a 56 percent chance according to the market.
FC Vaduz are outsiders at 3.95, translating to an implied probability near 25 percent.
The draw is priced at 4.0, also implying around 25 percent, keeping that outcome realistically in play.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet carries a 64 percent model confidence but a negative value edge of -6.76 percent, meaning no clear pricing advantage was identified, and no other selections cleared the site's value threshold.
| Bookmaker | 1 · SER | X | 2 · FV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 4.05 | 4.02 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73 | 4.05 | 4.05 |
| Betsson | 1.72 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| Nordic Bet | 1.72 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66 | 3.85 | 3.65 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.64 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Servette host FC Vaduz in the Swiss Super League with the home side installed as a clear market favourite. The best price on Servette comes in at 1.8, which implies a win probability of roughly 56 percent, while Vaduz at 3.95 is priced at closer to 25 percent and the draw at 4.0 sits around 25 percent as well. That gap points to a fixture where the bookmakers expect Servette to control proceedings, though an away upset or stalemate are far from dismissed given the respectable draw price. Rather than backing the match result outright, our model points toward the goals market, flagging Over 2.5 goals at 1.46 as the recommended angle, with a model-implied confidence of 64 percent, though the calculated value edge is slightly negative, meaning the price does not currently offer a statistical advantage over the model's own estimate.
Verdict: The Over 2.5 goals pick at 1.46 reflects a reasonably high model confidence of 64 percent, but the negative value edge means the price does not represent a statistical edge over fair value. It is a plausible angle rather than a standout opportunity, and bettors should size stakes accordingly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 16:00 | FC Zurich v FC Luzern | 2.25 | 3.85 | 2.30 |
| 24 Oct 18:30 | BSC Young Boys v FC St Gallen | 1.67 | 4.50 | 4.05 |
| 25 Oct 13:00 | FC Thun v FC Lugano | 4.40 | 4.40 | 1.65 |
| 25 Oct 15:30 | FC Basel v Grasshopper Zürich | 1.62 | 4.45 | 4.45 |
| 25 Oct 15:30 | FC Sion v FC Lausanne-Sport | 1.36 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.46, with a 64% confidence rating.
Servette are the clear market favourites, priced at 1.8 for the win, which implies around a 56 percent chance according to the odds given.
The draw is available at 4.0, implying an approximate 25 percent probability, similar to the implied chance for a Vaduz win.
No selections cleared the site's value threshold against market consensus. The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.46 has a 64 percent model confidence but shows a slightly negative value edge of -6.76 percent, so it should be viewed as a reasoned pick rather than a confirmed value bet.
Servette vs FC Vaduz takes place Sat · 16:00 in the Swiss Super League.
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