Swiss Super League · Sat · 18:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 · how we work
Young Boys are priced at 1.67, implying close to 60% win probability and marking them firm favourites over St Gallen's 4.05 (around 25%).
The draw at 4.5 implies roughly 22% probability, the lowest of the three match-result outcomes.
The model's Over 3.5 goals pick carries 58% implied confidence but a negative value edge of -6.52%, indicating the odds do not currently offer a statistical advantage.
No value picks versus market consensus met the site's threshold, suggesting the market is broadly aligned with model expectations for this fixture.
| Bookmaker | 1 · BYB | X | 2 · FSG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 4.50 | 4.01 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.65 | 4.50 | 4.05 |
| 888sport | 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| Nordic Bet | 1.62 | 4.30 | 4.00 |
| Betsson | 1.62 | 4.30 | 4.00 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
BSC Young Boys head into this Swiss Super League clash against FC St Gallen as clear favourites according to the betting market. Best odds of 1.67 on a Young Boys win imply a win probability of roughly 60%, while St Gallen's 4.05 price points to just under 25%. The draw, priced at 4.5, suggests around 22% likelihood. These figures show a fairly one-sided market view, though the overround means the true gap is slightly narrower than the raw numbers suggest. Away from the match-result market, our model flags a goals-based angle: Over 3.5 goals is available at 1.62, with the model assigning roughly 58% confidence to that outcome. Despite the lean toward goals, the model calculates a negative value edge of about -6.52%, meaning the current price does not clearly exceed the model's assessed fair odds. No other selections cleared our value threshold for this fixture.
Verdict: The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 1.62 reflects a moderately goal-heavy expectation, but the negative value edge means it is not flagged as a strong value play. Backing it carries typical betting risk, and bettors should treat it as a reasoned option rather than a confident edge over the market.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 16:00 | Servette v FC Vaduz | 1.75 | 4.05 | 4.05 |
| 24 Oct 16:00 | FC Zurich v FC Luzern | 2.25 | 3.85 | 2.30 |
| 25 Oct 13:00 | FC Thun v FC Lugano | 4.40 | 4.40 | 1.65 |
| 25 Oct 15:30 | FC Basel v Grasshopper Zürich | 1.62 | 4.45 | 4.45 |
| 25 Oct 15:30 | FC Sion v FC Lausanne-Sport | 1.36 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.62, with a 58% confidence rating.
BSC Young Boys are the clear market favourites, priced at 1.67, which implies close to a 60% win probability compared to St Gallen's 4.05 price (about 25%).
The draw is priced at 4.5, implying roughly a 22% probability based on the best available odds.
Our model highlights Over 3.5 goals at 1.62 with 58% implied confidence, but the value edge is negative at -6.52%, so it is not currently classed as a strong value bet; no other selections cleared the value threshold.
BSC Young Boys vs FC St Gallen takes place Sat · 18:30 in the Swiss Super League.
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