Swiss Super League · Sun · 15:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 · how we work
Basel's 1.62 price implies around 62 percent win probability, making them clear market favourites over Grasshopper.
Grasshopper (4.45) and the draw (4.45) are priced identically, each implying roughly 22 percent, showing the market views them as near equally probable alternatives to a Basel win.
The combined implied probabilities exceed 100 percent (overround near 6-7 percent), which is standard bookmaker margin and should be kept in mind when assessing any of these prices.
The Over 3.5 goals pick at 1.87 carries a negative value edge of -6.5 percent against the model's own 50 percent confidence, indicating the market price may already be fair or slightly unfavourable rather than offering genuine value.
| Bookmaker | 1 · FB | X | 2 · GZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 4.45 | 4.40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.60 | 4.45 | 4.45 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Nordic Bet | 1.55 | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| Betsson | 1.55 | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| 888sport | 1.61 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
FC Basel host Grasshopper Zürich in a Swiss Super League fixture where the betting market leaves little doubt about the favourite. Basel are priced at 1.62 with 1xBet, which converts to an implied probability of roughly 62 percent, while Grasshopper sit out at 4.45 with Marathon Bet, implying only about 22 percent. The draw is quoted at the same 4.45 price on 1xBet, also around 22 percent, meaning the market sees the away win and the stalemate as roughly equally unlikely outcomes. Away from the straight match result, our model flags Over 3.5 goals at 1.87 on 1xBet as its recommended angle, though it comes with a confidence reading of 50 percent and a negative value edge of 6.5 percent, so it should be treated as a leaning rather than a strong signal. Bettors weighing this fixture should factor both the one-sided match-odds picture and the mixed goals-market signal.
Verdict: Basel are heavily favoured by the market, with Grasshopper and the draw priced as outsiders. The Over 3.5 goals recommendation at 1.87 is the only flagged angle, but its negative value edge means it is not a clear-cut opportunity. Treat it as a moderate-risk option rather than a confident value bet.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 16:00 | Servette v FC Vaduz | 1.75 | 4.05 | 4.05 |
| 24 Oct 16:00 | FC Zurich v FC Luzern | 2.25 | 3.85 | 2.30 |
| 24 Oct 18:30 | BSC Young Boys v FC St Gallen | 1.67 | 4.50 | 4.05 |
| 25 Oct 13:00 | FC Thun v FC Lugano | 4.40 | 4.40 | 1.65 |
| 25 Oct 15:30 | FC Sion v FC Lausanne-Sport | 1.36 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.87, with a 50% confidence rating.
FC Basel are clear favourites, priced at 1.62, which implies roughly a 62 percent chance of winning according to the market.
The draw is available at 4.45 with 1xBet, implying an approximate 22 percent probability, the same price as a Grasshopper win.
The model lists Over 3.5 goals at 1.87 as its recommended bet, but it carries only 50 percent confidence and a negative value edge of 6.5 percent, so it is not a strong value play based on the current data.
FC Basel vs Grasshopper Zürich takes place Sun · 15:30 in the Swiss Super League.
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