Swiss Super League · Sun · 15:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 · how we work
Sion are strongly favoured by the market at 1.36, implying a win probability near 73.5 percent compared with 13.3 percent for Lausanne-Sport at 7.5.
The draw is priced at 5.0 with 1xBet, implying roughly a 20 percent chance, a fairly standard price gap given the lopsided favourite.
Combined implied probabilities across the three outcomes sit just above 106 percent, reflecting typical bookmaker margin rather than unusual market disagreement.
The recommended Under 2.5 goals selection at 2.62 carries only 35 percent model confidence and a negative value edge of -7.07 percent, meaning it is not flagged as a clear value play.
No match-result selections cleared the value threshold versus market consensus, so this preview leans on raw pricing rather than identified edges.
| Bookmaker | 1 · FS | X | 2 · FL |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 5.00 | 7.48 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| 888sport | 1.36 | 4.60 | 7.50 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.60 | 7.50 |
| Nordic Bet | 1.33 | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| Betsson | 1.33 | 4.80 | 7.20 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
FC Sion host FC Lausanne-Sport in a Swiss Super League fixture where the betting market leaves little doubt about the expected outcome. Sion are priced at 1.36 with 888sport, which implies a win probability of roughly 73.5 percent, making them the heavy favourites on home soil. Lausanne-Sport, by contrast, are out at 7.5, translating to an implied chance of about 13.3 percent, while the draw sits at 5.0 with 1xBet, implying around 20 percent. These figures add up to just over 106 percent once bookmaker margin is factored in, a normal overround for this type of fixture. Away from the match-result market, our model points to Under 2.5 goals at 2.62 with William Hill as the recommended angle, though it carries only moderate confidence and a slightly negative value edge, suggesting the price is not clearly generous relative to the model's own estimate.
Verdict: The market makes Sion clear favourites, with the draw and an away win priced as longer shots. Our only flagged angle, Under 2.5 goals at 2.62, comes with modest 35 percent confidence and a negative value edge, so it should be treated as a speculative option rather than a strongly backed selection. Stake sizing should reflect that uncertainty.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 16:00 | Servette v FC Vaduz | 1.75 | 4.05 | 4.05 |
| 24 Oct 16:00 | FC Zurich v FC Luzern | 2.25 | 3.85 | 2.30 |
| 24 Oct 18:30 | BSC Young Boys v FC St Gallen | 1.67 | 4.50 | 4.05 |
| 25 Oct 13:00 | FC Thun v FC Lugano | 4.40 | 4.40 | 1.65 |
| 25 Oct 15:30 | FC Basel v Grasshopper Zürich | 1.62 | 4.45 | 4.45 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.62, with a 35% confidence rating.
FC Sion are the clear market favourites at 1.36 with 888sport, implying a win probability of about 73.5 percent, well ahead of Lausanne-Sport at 7.5.
The draw is available at 5.0 with 1xBet, which implies roughly a 20 percent chance of the game ending level.
No match-result selection cleared the value threshold against market consensus. The model's recommended play is Under 2.5 goals at 2.62, but it carries only 35 percent confidence and a negative value edge of -7.07 percent, so it is not a strong value signal.
FC Sion vs FC Lausanne-Sport takes place Sun · 15:30 in the Swiss Super League.
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