Liga Profesional · kicked off 16 Aug 2026 — the tip we published before the match and how it settled.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 · how we work
Atlético Huracán are marginal favourites at 2.63 (about 38% implied), with Sarmiento de Junin the underdogs at 3.13 (around 32%).
The draw is priced at 2.83, roughly 35% implied, reflecting how evenly the market rates this fixture.
The recommended Over 1.5 goals at 1.76 carries about 54% implied confidence but a negative value edge of -5.09%.
No selections cleared our value threshold against the market consensus, so there is no strong edge on offer here.
W/D/L shown from Sarmiento de Junin's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
This Liga Profesional clash pits Sarmiento de Junin against Atlético Huracán, and the market leans towards the visitors. Atlético Huracán are the favourites at 2.63, which translates to roughly 38% implied probability, while Sarmiento de Junin sit as underdogs at 3.13, or about 32%. The draw is priced at 2.83, close to 35% implied, underlining how tight this pricing is. There is no runaway favourite here; the gap between the two sides is modest, and the balanced odds point to a contest the bookmakers see as genuinely competitive. Rather than backing a side outright, our model looks at the goals market, recommending Over 1.5 goals at 1.76. That price carries a market-implied confidence of around 54%. Worth noting, though, is that our value assessment shows a negative edge of -5.09% on that selection, so it is a lean rather than a standout value play in this matchup.
Verdict: Our lean is Over 1.5 goals at 1.76, supported by roughly 54% implied confidence. Be aware the value edge is negative at -5.09%, meaning the price is slightly against you rather than in your favour. Treat this as a modest lean and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-0, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 22:00 | Sarmiento de Junin v River Plate | 5.80 | 3.60 | 1.76 |
| 15 Oct 23:00 | Atlético Huracán v Gimnasia La Plata | 2.53 | 3.00 | 3.52 |
| 16 Oct 22:00 | Defensa y Justicia v Instituto de Córdoba | 2.86 | 3.06 | 2.76 |
| 17 Oct 00:30 | Boca Juniors v Talleres | 1.74 | 3.75 | 5.75 |
| 17 Oct 18:00 | Banfield v Argentinos Juniors | 3.87 | 3.32 | 2.09 |
| 17 Oct 20:30 | Platense v Lanus | 2.90 | 2.98 | 2.84 |
| 17 Oct 20:30 | Independiente Rivadavia v CA Tigre BA | 1.96 | 3.28 | 4.70 |
| 17 Oct 23:00 | Atlético Tucuman v Rosario Central | 3.35 | 3.10 | 2.46 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip was Atlético Huracán to win at odds of 2.90.
Atlético Huracán are the favourites at 2.63, implying about 38% probability. Sarmiento de Junin are priced at 3.13, around 32%, so the visitors are only slightly ahead.
The draw is available at 2.83 with 1xBet, which equates to roughly 35% implied probability. That pricing sits close to both team prices, signalling a balanced fixture.
No selection cleared our value threshold against the market. The recommended Over 1.5 goals at 1.76 actually shows a negative edge of -5.09%, so treat it as a lean rather than a value bet.
The tip lost — final score 2-0 (-1.00u at flat stakes).
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