Greek Super League · Sun · 14:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 · how we work
Olympiakos are priced at 1.14, implying an approximate 88 percent chance of victory according to the market.
Kalamata FC's 21.0 price points to only about a 5 percent implied win probability, reflecting a sizeable gap between the two sides.
The draw at 7.7 sits around a 13 percent implied probability, a distant third option behind the home win.
The Over 3.5 goals pick at 2.31 carries a negative value edge of -6.53 percent, meaning the market price does not currently favour this selection despite the model's 40 percent confidence.
| Bookmaker | 1 · OP | X | 2 · KF |
|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.15 | 6.50 | 21.00 |
| William Hill | 1.15 | 6.50 | 21.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.13 | 7.20 | 19.00 |
| Betsson | 1.14 | 6.90 | 18.00 |
| Nordic Bet | 1.13 | 6.90 | 17.50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.11 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Olympiakos Piraeus host Kalamata FC in the Greek Super League as overwhelming favourites, with the market pricing them at just 1.14 for the win. That translates to an implied probability of roughly 88 percent, leaving Kalamata at around 21.0 (about 5 percent) and the draw at 7.7 (roughly 13 percent) as the only alternatives the market takes somewhat seriously. With the result market so heavily skewed, our model looks beyond the 1X2 line and flags Over 3.5 goals at 2.31 as the recommended angle, built around the idea that a lopsided favourite at home can produce a high-scoring match. That price implies a bookmaker-side probability near 43 percent, though the model's own confidence sits at 40 percent, and the quoted value edge of -6.53 percent suggests the odds are not clearly in the bettor's favour on paper.
Verdict: The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 2.31 reflects a plausible scenario given Olympiakos' heavy favourite status, but the negative value edge means the odds are not clearly advantageous. This is a moderate-risk selection rather than a confident value play, and bankroll discipline is advised given the uncertainty.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 14:00 | Levadiakos v Volos FC | 2.24 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| 17 Oct 16:30 | Atromitos Athens v AEK Athens | 7.50 | 3.90 | 1.44 |
| 18 Oct 13:00 | Kalamata FC v OFI Crete | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| 18 Oct 14:00 | Panetolikos Agrinio v Olympiakos Piraeus | 10.00 | 5.25 | 1.34 |
| 18 Oct 14:30 | Panathinaikos v Asteras Tripolis | 1.26 | 6.80 | 14.10 |
| 18 Oct 17:00 | AE Kifisia FC v Aris Thessaloniki | 3.10 | 3.43 | 2.38 |
| 18 Oct 18:00 | PAOK Thessaloniki v Iraklis FC | 1.27 | 6.20 | 12.50 |
| 24 Oct 16:00 | Iraklis FC v AE Kifisia FC | 2.54 | 3.12 | 2.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.62, with a 60% confidence rating.
Olympiakos Piraeus are strong favourites at odds of 1.14, which implies an approximate 88 percent win probability according to the market.
The draw is available at 7.7, implying roughly a 13 percent probability based on current market pricing.
Kalamata's 21.0 price points to only about a 5 percent implied chance and is not flagged as a value pick. The model instead highlights Over 3.5 goals at 2.31, though this comes with a negative value edge of -6.53 percent, meaning it is not a clear-cut value bet.
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata FC takes place Sun · 14:00 in the Greek Super League.
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