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แ แแญแ โฝ MLS ๐ Sun ยท 00:30
Our tip
Nashville SC to win
Odds
1.96
โ
Official pick โ published to our graded record ยท backed by our goal model
ConfidenceValue ยท 53%
AI Value edge 4.52% ยท best price at LeoVegas (SE)
Bet at LeoVegas (SE) Our prediction
Key factors behind our tip
01
Nashville SC are favourites at 1.96, implying roughly 51% chance, while FC Cincinnati at 3.55 imply about 28%.
02
The draw is priced at 4.0, or approximately 25% implied probability, making a stalemate the least likely single outcome.
03
Our model gives Nashville a 53% confidence read against the market's implied figure, producing a small value edge of around 3.15%.
04
No value picks cleared our threshold, so the recommended bet is a narrow lean rather than a strong signal.
Most likely scorelines
Both teams to score: 64%| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 9.6% | 10.46 |
| 1-1 | 8.7% | 11.53 |
| 2-0 | 7.5% | 13.26 |
| 3-1 | 7.0% | 14.22 |
| 1-0 | 6.8% | 14.64 |
| 2-2 | 6.1% | 16.47 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 2.21 and 1.27. These six scorelines cover 46% of all outcomes โ the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Additional predictions
| Market | Odds | Value edge | Confidence | AI score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 4.53 | +9.5% | 24% | 62 |
Model-scored alternatives to the main tip โ every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.
Team form
NS Nashville SC WWWDL
23 Aug 26 vs Columbus Crew SC 3-2
19 Aug 26 @ New York Red Bulls 1-0
16 Aug 26 vs Inter Miami CF 4-1
1 Aug 26 @ D.C. United 2-2
26 Jul 26 @ Orlando City SC 0-1
FC FC Cincinnati DWDWL
22 Aug 26 vs Seattle Sounders FC 1-1
19 Aug 26 vs New York City FC 2-1
15 Aug 26 @ Orlando City SC 1-1
2 Aug 26 vs San Jose Earthquakes 4-2
25 Jul 26 @ Columbus Crew SC 1-2
Best odds across bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท NS | X | 2 ยท FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 4.53 | 3.83 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96 | 4.00 | 3.55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81 | 4.17 | 3.90 |
| BetAnything | 1.81 | 4.17 | 3.90 |
| GTbets | 1.81 | 4.11 | 3.94 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80 | 4.16 | 3.88 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati: match preview
Nashville SC host FC Cincinnati in this MLS clash, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. LeoVegas prices Nashville at 1.96, which translates to a market-implied probability of around 51%, marking them as clear home favourites. FC Cincinnati are the outsiders at 3.55, implying roughly 28%, while the draw sits at 4.0, or about 25% in probability terms. Those figures point to a game the bookmakers see tilting toward the hosts, though the price is short of overwhelming. Our model lands on the same side, recommending Nashville SC to win at 1.96 with a market-implied confidence of 53% and a modest value edge of about 3.15%. That edge is slim rather than sizeable, so this is a lean toward the favourite rather than a standout play. No selections cleared our value threshold, which is worth keeping in mind before committing a stake to this fixture.
Verdict: The recommended play is Nashville SC to win at 1.96, backing the home favourite the market prices at roughly 51%. The value edge of about 3.15% is modest, so treat this as a moderate-risk lean rather than a strong conviction pick. Stake responsibly and within your limits.
Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips โ| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 20:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Chicago Fire | 3.00 | 4.20 | 2.30 |
| 29 Aug 23:30 | Toronto FC v New York City FC | 2.60 | 3.98 | 2.75 |
| 29 Aug 23:30 | Inter Miami CF v CF Montreal | 1.49 | 5.82 | 6.80 |
| 29 Aug 23:30 | D.C. United v Los Angeles FC | 3.50 | 4.01 | 2.08 |
| 29 Aug 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union | 3.11 | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| 29 Aug 23:30 | Columbus Crew SC v New England Revolution | 1.98 | 4.17 | 4.00 |
| 29 Aug 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v Charlotte FC | 2.42 | 4.12 | 3.00 |
| 30 Aug 00:30 | Minnesota United FC v Orlando City SC | 1.87 | 4.58 | 4.06 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?+
Our tip is Nashville SC to win at odds of 1.96, with a 53% confidence rating.
Who is the favourite for Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?+
Nashville SC are the favourites at 1.96 with LeoVegas, implying around a 51% chance. FC Cincinnati are the outsiders at 3.55, roughly 28% implied.
What are the draw odds for this MLS match?+
The draw is priced at 4.0, which equates to an implied probability of about 25%, making it the least likely of the three single outcomes.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
Our model flags a small value edge of around 3.15% on Nashville SC at 1.96, but no selection cleared our value threshold, so it is a narrow lean rather than a standout pick.
When does the match kick off?+
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati takes place Sun ยท 00:30 in the MLS.