MLS ยท Sat ยท 23:30 โ our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 ยท how we work
Inter Miami's 1.36 price implies roughly a 74% chance, making them strong favourites against CF Montreal.
CF Montreal at 7.0 sit around 14% implied probability, a notable gap that reflects the market's expectations.
The draw is priced at 5.8, about 17% implied, a typical outsider line in a match with a heavy favourite.
The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 1.6 shows a negative value edge of -5.98%, so it does not beat the market consensus on paper.
| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 8.3% | 12.02 |
| 3-1 | 8.0% | 12.48 |
| 2-0 | 6.7% | 15.02 |
| 3-0 | 6.4% | 15.60 |
| 4-1 | 5.8% | 17.30 |
| 1-1 | 5.8% | 17.36 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 2.89 and 1.25. These six scorelines cover 41% of all outcomes โ the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
| Market | Odds | Value edge | Confidence | AI score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 5.82 | +4.6% | 18% | 55 |
Model-scored alternatives to the main tip โ every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.
W/D/L shown from Inter Miami CF's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท IMC | X | 2 ยท CM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.49 | 5.40 | 5.90 |
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 5.82 | 6.28 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43 | 5.40 | 6.25 |
| GTbets | 1.44 | 5.29 | 6.10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.44 | 5.45 | 5.82 |
| BetAnything | 1.44 | 5.45 | 5.82 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
Inter Miami CF host CF Montreal in this MLS matchup, and the market leaves little doubt about which side it favours. Inter Miami are priced at 1.36, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 74%, marking them as clear favourites on home turf. CF Montreal are the outsiders at 7.0, implying around a 14% chance, while the draw sits at 5.8, or about 17% implied. That pricing paints a lopsided contest on paper. Rather than backing the heavily favoured match result at short odds, our model looks to the goals market: Over 3.5 goals at 1.6 (Unibet), carrying a market-implied confidence of about 59%. It is worth flagging that the value edge here is negative at -5.98%, meaning the price offers no clear edge over the market's own read. Treat this as a lean rather than a standout opportunity, and stake within your usual limits.
Verdict: The pick is Over 3.5 goals at 1.6, backed by roughly 59% model confidence. Be aware the value edge is negative, so this is a modest lean rather than a priced-in advantage. High-total goals bets carry real variance, so approach with disciplined stakes.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 20:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Chicago Fire | 3.00 | 4.20 | 2.30 |
| 29 Aug 23:30 | Toronto FC v New York City FC | 2.60 | 3.98 | 2.75 |
| 29 Aug 23:30 | D.C. United v Los Angeles FC | 3.50 | 4.01 | 2.08 |
| 29 Aug 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union | 3.11 | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| 29 Aug 23:30 | Columbus Crew SC v New England Revolution | 1.98 | 4.17 | 4.00 |
| 29 Aug 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v Charlotte FC | 2.42 | 4.12 | 3.00 |
| 30 Aug 00:30 | Minnesota United FC v Orlando City SC | 1.87 | 4.58 | 4.06 |
| 30 Aug 00:30 | Nashville SC v FC Cincinnati | 1.96 | 4.53 | 3.95 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.81, with a 55% confidence rating.
Inter Miami CF are the clear favourites at 1.36, an implied probability of about 74%. CF Montreal are the outsiders at 7.0, around 14%.
The draw is priced at 5.8 with LeoVegas (SE), which implies roughly a 17% chance of the match ending level.
Our model recommends Over 3.5 goals at 1.6 with about 59% confidence, but the value edge is -5.98%, meaning it does not offer a clear edge over the market price.
Inter Miami CF vs CF Montreal takes place Sat ยท 23:30 in the MLS.
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