Premier League ยท Sun ยท 15:30 โ our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 ยท how we work
At 1.47, Manchester United are strong favourites with an implied probability near 68%, while Ipswich Town at 7.5 sit around just 13%.
The draw is priced at 5.0 with Unibet (NL), implying roughly a 20% chance of the points being shared.
The gap between the favourite and the underdog is wide, underlining the market's clear preference for United here.
Our recommended Over 2.5 goals pick at 1.69 carries about 58% implied confidence but a slightly negative value edge of -1.52%.
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท MU | X | 2 ยท IT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.45 | 5.20 | 7.80 |
| Matchbook | 1.45 | 5.20 | 7.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.46 | 4.98 | 7.60 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43 | 4.90 | 8.00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44 | 4.90 | 7.50 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
Manchester United host Ipswich Town in the Premier League, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. United are priced at 1.47, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 68%, marking them as clear favourites on home soil. Ipswich, by contrast, are the outsiders at 7.5, implying around a 13% chance of an away win, while the draw sits at 5.0, or about 20% in probability terms. That wide price gap reflects a substantial gulf in how bookmakers rate the two sides for this fixture. Rather than backing the result outright, our model turns to the goals market, flagging Over 2.5 goals at 1.69. That price carries a market-implied confidence of about 58%, suggesting a reasonable expectation of an open, goal-friendly contest. Note, however, that the value edge on this pick comes in slightly negative, so it should be viewed as a lean rather than a standout opportunity.
Verdict: The model leans towards Over 2.5 goals at 1.69, reflecting an expectation of an open game with around 58% implied confidence. Be aware the value edge is marginally negative, so this is a modest lean rather than a strong edge. Stake responsibly and only within your bankroll limits.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 19:00 | Fulham v Chelsea | 4.20 | 3.85 | 1.98 |
| 28 Aug 19:00 | Crystal Palace v Manchester City | 5.60 | 4.32 | 1.68 |
| 29 Aug 11:30 | Liverpool v Nottingham Forest | 1.54 | 4.90 | 7.00 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Coventry City v Hull City | 1.94 | 3.80 | 4.70 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Bournemouth v Everton | 2.14 | 3.70 | 3.65 |
| 29 Aug 16:30 | Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United | 2.32 | 3.80 | 3.25 |
| 30 Aug 13:00 | Leeds United v Brentford | 2.63 | 3.52 | 2.90 |
| 30 Aug 13:00 | Chelsea v Brighton and Hove Albion | 2.05 | 3.95 | 3.75 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton Hove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 | Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 | Everton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Hull City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | Ipswich Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Leeds United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Sunderland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Man United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Coventry City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.69, with a 58% confidence rating.
Manchester United are clear favourites at 1.47, which implies roughly a 68% chance of winning. Ipswich Town are the outsiders at 7.5, or about 13%.
The draw is priced at 5.0 with Unibet (NL), implying approximately a 20% probability of the game ending level.
No value picks cleared our threshold. Our model highlights Over 2.5 goals at 1.69, but with a slightly negative value edge of -1.52%, so it is a lean rather than a clear value bet.
Manchester United vs Ipswich Town takes place Sun ยท 15:30 in the Premier League.
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