Premier League ยท Sat ยท 14:00 โ our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 ยท how we work
Manchester City's 1.24 price implies roughly an 81% chance of victory, making them clear market favourites.
Coventry City at 13.2 are given only about an 8% implied probability of winning outright.
The draw is priced at 8.2 (around 12% implied), reflecting the market's view that a stalemate is unlikely.
Our recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 1.89 sits at about 52% implied confidence but carries a slightly negative value edge of -1.43%.
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท MC | X | 2 ยท CC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.24 | 7.60 | 12.70 |
| Betfair | 1.23 | 7.20 | 13.00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22 | 7.50 | 12.50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.18 | 7.50 | 13.00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.18 | 7.50 | 13.00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.18 | 7.50 | 13.00 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
Manchester City host Coventry City in this Premier League fixture, and the market leaves little doubt about its expectations. City are priced at just 1.24 to win, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 81%, marking them as heavy favourites. Coventry City, by contrast, sit out at 13.2, implying only around an 8% chance of taking all three points, while the draw is offered at 8.2, or about 12% in probability terms. That wide price gap reflects a lopsided contest in the eyes of the bookmakers. Rather than backing the short-odds home win, our model looks to the goals market, recommending Over 3.5 goals at 1.89. That price carries a market-implied confidence of around 52%, though the value edge comes in slightly negative at -1.43%, so it is a marginal call rather than a standout opportunity in this matchup.
Verdict: The recommended play is Over 3.5 goals at 1.89, backed by roughly 52% implied confidence. With a marginally negative value edge of -1.43%, this is a close call rather than a strong edge, so treat it as a speculative pick and stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 19:00 | Fulham v Chelsea | 4.20 | 3.85 | 1.98 |
| 28 Aug 19:00 | Crystal Palace v Manchester City | 5.60 | 4.32 | 1.68 |
| 29 Aug 11:30 | Liverpool v Nottingham Forest | 1.54 | 4.90 | 7.00 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Coventry City v Hull City | 1.94 | 3.80 | 4.70 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Bournemouth v Everton | 2.14 | 3.70 | 3.65 |
| 29 Aug 16:30 | Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United | 2.32 | 3.80 | 3.25 |
| 30 Aug 13:00 | Leeds United v Brentford | 2.63 | 3.52 | 2.90 |
| 30 Aug 13:00 | Chelsea v Brighton and Hove Albion | 2.05 | 3.95 | 3.75 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton Hove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 | Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 | Everton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Hull City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | Ipswich Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Leeds United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Sunderland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Man United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Coventry City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Our tip is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.94, with a 51% confidence rating.
Manchester City are strong favourites at 1.24, implying about an 81% chance of winning. Coventry City are long outsiders at 13.2.
The draw is available at 8.2 with Tipico, which implies roughly a 12% probability of the match ending level.
No value picks cleared the threshold here. The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 1.89 has a slightly negative value edge of -1.43%, so it is a marginal rather than clear-value selection.
Manchester City vs Coventry City takes place Sat ยท 14:00 in the Premier League.
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