2. Bundesliga · Sat · 11:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
Greuther Fürth are marginal favourites at 2.45 (about 41% implied), just ahead of FC Energie Cottbus at 2.7 (about 37%).
The narrow price gap between the two sides suggests the market views this as a tight, competitive fixture.
The draw is priced at 4.0, implying roughly a 25% chance, consistent with an evenly matched contest.
Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.49 with a 62% implied confidence, but the value edge is negative at -7.35%, meaning no pricing advantage.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · FEC | X | 2 · GF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.54 | 3.64 | 2.64 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.57 | 3.62 | 2.60 |
| Coolbet | 2.55 | 3.85 | 2.50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43 | 3.80 | 2.65 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43 | 3.80 | 2.65 |
| Tipico | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.55 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
This 2. Bundesliga clash sends FC Energie Cottbus against Greuther Fürth, and the market leans slightly toward the visitors. Fürth are the shorter price at 2.45 with Tipico, translating to roughly a 41% implied chance, while Cottbus sit at 2.7 with Coolbet, or about 37%. The gap is narrow, marking this as a closely priced contest rather than a clear mismatch. The draw is quoted at 4.0, implying near 25%, which points to a game the bookmakers see as competitive but with a lean toward an outright winner. Our model's attention falls not on the match result but on the goals market: Over 2.5 goals at 1.49 with Betsson, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 62%. That said, the value edge on this selection reads at -7.35%, so the odds offer no clear pricing advantage. Treat it as a lean rather than a standout number, and stake within your usual limits.
Verdict: The model's lean is Over 2.5 goals at 1.49, backed by around 62% implied confidence. However, the negative value edge of -7.35% means you are not getting favourable odds here. Consider it a modest-risk lean at best, and size any stake conservatively.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 16:30 | Eintracht Braunschweig v Hertha Berlin | 2.60 | 3.61 | 2.62 |
| 28 Aug 16:30 | VfL Bochum v VfL Osnabrück | 1.67 | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| 29 Aug 11:00 | 1. FC Heidenheim v Dynamo Dresden | 2.31 | 3.85 | 2.90 |
| 29 Aug 11:00 | Karlsruher SC v VfL Wolfsburg | 3.70 | 4.00 | 1.95 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | 1. FC Nürnberg v Arminia Bielefeld | 2.30 | 3.77 | 3.10 |
| 30 Aug 11:30 | FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.87 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| 30 Aug 11:30 | 1. FC Magdeburg v Holstein Kiel | 2.25 | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| 30 Aug 11:30 | SV Darmstadt 98 v Hannover 96 | 3.30 | 3.92 | 2.12 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.53, with a 61% confidence rating.
Greuther Fürth are the slight favourites at 2.45 (about 41% implied), just ahead of FC Energie Cottbus at 2.7 (about 37%). The margin is small, so it is a closely priced match.
The draw is priced at 4.0 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 25% chance. That reflects a genuinely competitive matchup in the market's view.
The recommended selection is Over 2.5 goals at 1.49 with a 62% implied confidence, but the value edge is negative at -7.35%. In short, the odds do not currently offer a pricing advantage.
FC Energie Cottbus vs Greuther Fürth takes place Sat · 11:00 in the 2. Bundesliga.
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