2. Bundesliga · Sat · 11:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
Heidenheim are favourites at 2.08 (about 48% implied), but the price is short of dominant.
Dynamo Dresden at 3.6 imply roughly 28%, with the draw close behind at 3.85 (around 26%).
The Over 2.5 goals pick at 1.6 carries about 59% implied confidence but a negative value edge of -5.64%.
No value picks cleared our threshold against the market consensus for this fixture.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · 1FH | X | 2 · DD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.31 | 3.78 | 2.85 |
| Coolbet | 2.25 | 3.85 | 2.90 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.31 | 3.76 | 2.85 |
| Tipico | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28 | 3.65 | 2.85 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28 | 3.65 | 2.85 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
This 2. Bundesliga clash sees 1. FC Heidenheim host Dynamo Dresden, and the market clearly leans towards the home side. Heidenheim are priced at 2.08 with Coolbet, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 48%, making them the favourite without being a runaway one. Dynamo Dresden sit at 3.6 (Tipico), implying around 28%, while the draw is quoted at 3.85 (Coolbet), close to a 26% chance. Those numbers describe a contest the market considers open rather than one-sided. Our model's attention, though, is not on the result line but on goals: the recommended angle is Over 2.5 goals at 1.6 with Tipico, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 59%. It is worth noting the value edge here is negative at -5.64%, so this is flagged as a lean rather than a standout price. Treat it as one input and stake responsibly.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.6, supported by a roughly 59% implied confidence. However, the negative value edge of -5.64% means the price offers no market advantage, so treat this as a modest lean rather than a strong play and stake with care.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 16:30 | Eintracht Braunschweig v Hertha Berlin | 2.60 | 3.61 | 2.62 |
| 28 Aug 16:30 | VfL Bochum v VfL Osnabrück | 1.67 | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| 29 Aug 11:00 | FC Energie Cottbus v Greuther Fürth | 2.57 | 3.85 | 2.65 |
| 29 Aug 11:00 | Karlsruher SC v VfL Wolfsburg | 3.70 | 4.00 | 1.95 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | 1. FC Nürnberg v Arminia Bielefeld | 2.30 | 3.77 | 3.10 |
| 30 Aug 11:30 | FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.87 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| 30 Aug 11:30 | 1. FC Magdeburg v Holstein Kiel | 2.25 | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| 30 Aug 11:30 | SV Darmstadt 98 v Hannover 96 | 3.30 | 3.92 | 2.12 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.55, with a 61% confidence rating.
1. FC Heidenheim are the favourites at 2.08 with Coolbet, an implied probability of around 48%. Dynamo Dresden are the outsiders at 3.6.
The draw is priced at 3.85 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 26% chance of the match ending level.
No value picks cleared our threshold here. The featured Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.6 actually shows a negative edge of -5.64%, so there is no clear market value on that line.
1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden takes place Sat · 11:00 in the 2. Bundesliga.
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