2. Bundesliga · Sun · 11:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
St. Pauli are the market favourites at 1.95, implying roughly a 51% chance, while Kaiserslautern at 3.95 sit near 25%.
The draw is priced at 3.9, giving it an implied probability of about 26%, broadly level with the away side.
The recommended Over 3.0 goals bet at 1.82 shows a market-implied confidence near 52% but a negative value edge of -5.63%.
No value picks cleared the threshold against market consensus, suggesting the prices are broadly efficient.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · FSP | X | 2 · 1FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87 | 3.85 | 3.92 |
| Coolbet | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 3.83 | 3.92 |
| Tipico | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.88 | 3.80 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87 | 3.80 | 3.70 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
This 2. Bundesliga fixture sees FC St. Pauli host 1. FC Kaiserslautern, and the market leaves little doubt about which side it prefers. St. Pauli are priced at 1.95 with Coolbet, translating to a market-implied probability of roughly 51%, marking them as clear home favourites. Kaiserslautern, at 3.95 with Betsson, sit around 25% in implied terms, while the draw is quoted at 3.9 (about 26%). Rather than backing the match result, our model looks to the goals market, recommending Over 3.0 goals at 1.82 with Coolbet. That price carries an implied confidence of around 52%, though the model flags a negative value edge of -5.63%, meaning the odds do not currently offer an advantage against the estimate. It is a pick built on an expectation of an open contest rather than any pricing inefficiency, so treat it accordingly.
Verdict: The model leans toward Over 3.0 goals at 1.82, expecting an open game. Be aware the pick carries a negative value edge of -5.63%, so the odds offer no measurable advantage. Treat it as a modest-confidence lean rather than a strong edge, and stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 16:30 | Eintracht Braunschweig v Hertha Berlin | 2.60 | 3.61 | 2.62 |
| 28 Aug 16:30 | VfL Bochum v VfL Osnabrück | 1.67 | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| 29 Aug 11:00 | 1. FC Heidenheim v Dynamo Dresden | 2.31 | 3.85 | 2.90 |
| 29 Aug 11:00 | FC Energie Cottbus v Greuther Fürth | 2.57 | 3.85 | 2.65 |
| 29 Aug 11:00 | Karlsruher SC v VfL Wolfsburg | 3.70 | 4.00 | 1.95 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | 1. FC Nürnberg v Arminia Bielefeld | 2.30 | 3.77 | 3.10 |
| 30 Aug 11:30 | 1. FC Magdeburg v Holstein Kiel | 2.25 | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| 30 Aug 11:30 | SV Darmstadt 98 v Hannover 96 | 3.30 | 3.92 | 2.12 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 3.0 goals at odds of 2.04, with a 47% confidence rating.
FC St. Pauli are the favourites at 1.95 with Coolbet, implying roughly a 51% chance. Kaiserslautern are the outsiders at 3.95, around 25% implied.
The draw is priced at 3.9 with Tipico, which equates to an implied probability of about 26%.
No value picks cleared our threshold. The recommended Over 3.0 goals bet at 1.82 actually shows a negative value edge of -5.63%, so the market appears efficiently priced.
FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern takes place Sun · 11:30 in the 2. Bundesliga.
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