Liga Profesional · Sun · 20:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
Belgrano de Cordoba are favourites at 2.18 (about 46% implied), with Atletico Huracan the outsiders at 3.94 (about 25%).
The draw is priced at 2.93, implying roughly a 34% chance, underlining a reasonably competitive matchup.
The recommended Over 1.5 goals pick at 1.61 carries around 59% market-implied confidence but a negative value edge of about -4.96%.
No value picks cleared our threshold against the market consensus, so the odds broadly reflect fair pricing here.
| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 18.6% | 5.39 |
| 0-0 | 18.0% | 5.56 |
| 1-1 | 12.7% | 7.88 |
| 0-1 | 12.3% | 8.12 |
| 2-0 | 9.6% | 10.46 |
| 2-1 | 6.5% | 15.29 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.03 and 0.68. These six scorelines cover 78% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · BDC | X | 2 · AH |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.18 | 2.93 | 3.94 |
| Betsson | 2.15 | 2.92 | 3.95 |
| Nordic Bet | 2.15 | 2.92 | 3.95 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00 | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98 | 2.75 | 3.50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95 | 2.68 | 3.65 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
This Liga Profesional clash sees Belgrano de Cordoba hosting Atletico Huracan, and the market leans clearly towards Belgrano. Their price of 2.18 translates to roughly a 46% implied chance, marking them as the favourite without making them an overwhelming one. Atletico Huracan sit as the outsiders at 3.94, implying around a 25% chance, while the draw is priced at 2.93, or about 34%. That spread points to a game the market considers competitive rather than one-sided. Our model's recommendation moves away from the match result entirely and focuses on Over 1.5 goals at 1.61, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 59%. Worth noting upfront: the value edge on that pick is negative at roughly -4.96%, so it is flagged as a lean on likelihood rather than a price advantage. No selections cleared our value threshold for this fixture, which is a signal to stake with care.
Verdict: The model's lean is Over 1.5 goals at 1.61, backed by roughly 59% implied confidence. It is a moderate-probability play rather than a value bet, since the edge is negative at about -4.96%. Treat it as a modest lean and manage your stake sensibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 22:00 | CA Tigre BA v Central Córdoba | 1.70 | 3.61 | 7.30 |
| 25 Aug 00:15 | Talleres v Rosario Central | 2.86 | 3.05 | 3.03 |
| 25 Aug 00:15 | Lanus v Argentinos Juniors | 2.72 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| 29 Aug 00:15 | Union Santa Fe v Sarmiento de Junin | 1.84 | 3.57 | 4.70 |
| 29 Aug 17:45 | Deportivo Riestra v Velez Sarsfield BA | 3.00 | 2.84 | 2.99 |
| 29 Aug 20:00 | Rosario Central v Gimnasia La Plata | 2.00 | 3.25 | 4.50 |
| 29 Aug 22:00 | Atlético Huracán v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.65 | 3.50 | 6.67 |
| 29 Aug 22:00 | Boca Juniors v Lanus | 1.76 | 3.50 | 5.80 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.61, with a 59% confidence rating.
Belgrano de Cordoba are the favourites at 2.18, which implies about a 46% chance. Atletico Huracan are priced at 3.94, roughly a 25% implied chance.
The draw is priced at 2.93 with 1xBet, implying around a 34% chance. That relatively short draw price suggests the market sees a competitive contest.
No selections cleared our value threshold here. The recommended Over 1.5 goals at 1.61 has around 59% implied confidence but a negative value edge of about -4.96%, so it is a lean rather than a value play.
Belgrano de Cordoba vs Atlético Huracán takes place Sun · 20:00 in the Liga Profesional.
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