Liga Profesional · Sat · 22:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
Huracán are firm favourites at 1.62 (about 62% implied), with Estudiantes de Río Cuarto long outsiders at 7.13 (roughly 14%).
The gap between the two match-result prices is wide, reflecting the market's clear preference for the home side.
The draw is priced at 3.58, implying around 28% and sitting between the two win outcomes.
Our recommended Over 1.5 goals at 1.59 shows a negative value edge of -3.89%, so the price is slightly worse than fair by our model.
| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 23.8% | 4.21 |
| 0-0 | 17.6% | 5.69 |
| 2-0 | 16.1% | 6.23 |
| 1-1 | 9.2% | 10.88 |
| 3-0 | 7.2% | 13.83 |
| 0-1 | 6.8% | 14.71 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.35 and 0.39. These six scorelines cover 81% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · AH | X | 2 · EDR |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65 | 3.45 | 6.59 |
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 3.50 | 6.67 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63 | 3.44 | 6.57 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62 | 3.45 | 6.25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.59 | 3.44 | 6.55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.58 | 3.40 | 6.60 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
The Liga Profesional clash between Atlético Huracán and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto arrives with a clearly defined favourite. Huracán are priced at 1.62 for the win, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 62%, marking them as the side the bookmakers expect to control this fixture. Estudiantes de Río Cuarto sit as significant outsiders at 7.13, implying only about 14% in probability terms, while the draw is quoted at 3.58, or close to 28%. Rather than backing the match result, our model leans toward Over 1.5 goals at 1.59, a market carrying around 60% implied confidence. That said, the calculated value edge here is negative at -3.89%, meaning the price does not currently offer an advantage over the market. The numbers frame this as a contest with a strong favourite and a goals angle that is playable but not underpriced, so any interest should be weighed carefully.
Verdict: The model points to Over 1.5 goals at 1.59, backed by roughly 60% implied confidence. However, the -3.89% value edge means the odds offer no market advantage, so this is a modest-conviction angle rather than a strong one. Treat it as speculative and stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 22:00 | CA Tigre BA v Central Córdoba | 1.70 | 3.61 | 7.30 |
| 25 Aug 00:15 | Talleres v Rosario Central | 2.86 | 3.05 | 3.03 |
| 25 Aug 00:15 | Lanus v Argentinos Juniors | 2.72 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| 29 Aug 00:15 | Union Santa Fe v Sarmiento de Junin | 1.84 | 3.57 | 4.70 |
| 29 Aug 17:45 | Deportivo Riestra v Velez Sarsfield BA | 3.00 | 2.84 | 2.99 |
| 29 Aug 20:00 | Rosario Central v Gimnasia La Plata | 2.00 | 3.25 | 4.50 |
| 29 Aug 22:00 | Boca Juniors v Lanus | 1.76 | 3.50 | 5.80 |
| 30 Aug 00:30 | Atlético Tucuman v Belgrano de Cordoba | 2.85 | 2.95 | 3.07 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.60, with a 60% confidence rating.
Atlético Huracán are the favourites at 1.62, implying about a 62% chance. Estudiantes de Río Cuarto are outsiders at 7.13, roughly 14%.
The draw is priced at 3.58 with 1xBet, which corresponds to an implied probability of around 28%.
No value pick cleared our threshold. The recommended Over 1.5 goals at 1.59 actually shows a negative edge of -3.89%, meaning the price is slightly unfavourable versus our model.
Atlético Huracán vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto takes place Sat · 22:00 in the Liga Profesional.
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