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አማርኛ ⚽ Liga Profesional 🕒 Sun · 20:00
Our tip
Union Santa Fe to win
Odds
2.56
★ Official pick — published to our graded record · backed by our goal model
ConfidenceValue · 41%
AI Value edge 3.84% · best price at 1xBet
Bet at 1xBet Our prediction
Key factors behind our tip
01
Union Santa Fe are the narrow favourites at 2.56, an implied probability of about 39%, versus Instituto de Córdoba at 3.02 (around 33%).
02
The draw is priced identically to the away win at 3.02, showing the market rates a stalemate as likely as an Instituto win.
03
Our model flags a value edge of 3.83% on Union Santa Fe, indicating they may be slightly underpriced at 2.56.
04
The tight spread between all three outcomes signals a closely matched contest rather than a clear mismatch.
Most likely scorelines
Both teams to score: 45%| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 13.6% | 7.36 |
| 1-1 | 12.9% | 7.75 |
| 0-0 | 10.2% | 9.84 |
| 0-1 | 9.7% | 10.36 |
| 2-0 | 9.1% | 11.01 |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | 11.60 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.34 and 0.95. These six scorelines cover 64% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Team form
USF Union Santa Fe WLLW
21 Aug 26 @ Aldosivi Mar del Plata 3-1
15 Aug 26 @ San Lorenzo 0-1
11 Aug 26 vs Central Córdoba 1-2
6 Aug 26 vs Lanus 2-1
IDC Instituto de Córdoba DWW
22 Aug 26 @ Atlético Tucuman 0-0
16 Aug 26 @ Central Córdoba 1-0
9 Aug 26 vs Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
Best odds across bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 · USF | X | 2 · IDC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.56 | 3.02 | 3.02 |
| Betsson | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| Nordic Bet | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35 | 2.95 | 2.65 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30 | 2.83 | 2.70 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30 | 2.80 | 2.65 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Union Santa Fe vs Instituto de Córdoba: match preview
This Liga Profesional fixture pits Union Santa Fe against Instituto de Córdoba, and the market leans slightly toward the hosts. Union Santa Fe are priced at 2.56 with 1xBet, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 39%, while Instituto de Córdoba sit at 3.02, or about 33%. The draw is also quoted at 3.02, matching the visitors' price and pointing to a fixture the bookmakers see as fairly open rather than one-sided. Our model recommends backing Union Santa Fe to win at 2.56, assigning a market-implied confidence of around 41% and identifying a modest value edge of 3.83% versus the quoted price. That edge is small but present, suggesting the home side may be marginally underpriced. With less than seven percentage points separating all three outcomes in probability terms, this reads as a genuinely competitive match on paper.
Verdict: The recommended play is Union Santa Fe to win at 2.56, supported by a small 3.83% value edge and roughly 41% implied confidence. This is a low-conviction lean in a tightly priced match, so treat it as moderate risk and stake responsibly rather than heavily.
Upcoming Liga Profesional fixtures
All Liga Profesional tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 22:00 | CA Tigre BA v Central Córdoba | 1.70 | 3.61 | 7.30 |
| 25 Aug 00:15 | Talleres v Rosario Central | 2.86 | 3.05 | 3.03 |
| 25 Aug 00:15 | Lanus v Argentinos Juniors | 2.72 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| 29 Aug 00:15 | Union Santa Fe v Sarmiento de Junin | 1.84 | 3.57 | 4.70 |
| 29 Aug 17:45 | Deportivo Riestra v Velez Sarsfield BA | 3.00 | 2.84 | 2.99 |
| 29 Aug 20:00 | Rosario Central v Gimnasia La Plata | 2.00 | 3.25 | 4.50 |
| 29 Aug 22:00 | Atlético Huracán v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.65 | 3.50 | 6.67 |
| 29 Aug 22:00 | Boca Juniors v Lanus | 1.76 | 3.50 | 5.80 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What is the prediction for Union Santa Fe vs Instituto de Córdoba?+
Our tip is Union Santa Fe to win at odds of 2.56, with a 41% confidence rating.
Who is the favourite in Union Santa Fe vs Instituto de Córdoba?+
Union Santa Fe are the slight favourites at 2.56 with 1xBet, an implied probability of about 39%, ahead of Instituto de Córdoba at 3.02 (around 33%).
What are the draw odds for this match?+
The draw is priced at 3.02 with 1xBet, the same as the Instituto de Córdoba win, implying roughly a 33% chance of a stalemate.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
Our model identifies a modest value edge of 3.83% on Union Santa Fe at 2.56. It is a small edge, so expectations should be measured.
When does the match kick off?+
Union Santa Fe vs Instituto de Córdoba takes place Sun · 20:00 in the Liga Profesional.