Liga Profesional · Sun · 00:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
Talleres are firm favourites at 1.61, implying roughly a 62% chance of winning at home.
Central Córdoba are long outsiders at 6.4, priced at only about a 16% implied probability.
The draw at 3.65 carries a meaningful 27% implied chance, reflecting some uncertainty in the outcome.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.37 shows a negative value edge of -5.2%, so the price offers no advantage over the market.
| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 16.2% | 6.17 |
| 0-0 | 14.0% | 7.14 |
| 1-1 | 13.1% | 7.63 |
| 0-1 | 11.3% | 8.83 |
| 2-0 | 9.4% | 10.66 |
| 2-1 | 7.6% | 13.19 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.16 and 0.81. These six scorelines cover 72% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · TAL | X | 2 · CC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 3.54 | 6.52 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.65 | 3.55 | 5.60 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.59 | 3.48 | 6.40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.59 | 3.50 | 6.00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54 | 3.45 | 5.50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56 | 3.25 | 5.20 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Talleres head into this Liga Profesional clash with Central Córdoba as clear favourites, according to the market. At 1.61, the home side is priced at roughly a 62% implied chance of taking all three points, while Central Córdoba drift out to 6.4, which translates to about a 16% probability. The draw sits at 3.65, or close to a 27% implied likelihood. That price structure reflects a match where the bookmakers see Talleres as strong but not overwhelming, with a genuine outcome spread. Our model, rather than backing the result, leans towards Over 2.5 goals at 2.37, an offer carrying around 40% market-implied confidence. It is worth noting the value edge here is negative at -5.2%, meaning the price does not currently offer an edge over the market. That places this fixture in the watch-and-weigh category rather than a standout betting opportunity.
Verdict: The model points to Over 2.5 goals at 2.37, with around 40% implied confidence. However, the -5.2% value edge means this bet is priced against you rather than in your favour. Treat it as a marginal, higher-risk option and stake responsibly, if at all.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 22:00 | CA Tigre BA v Central Córdoba | 1.70 | 3.61 | 7.30 |
| 25 Aug 00:15 | Talleres v Rosario Central | 2.86 | 3.05 | 3.03 |
| 25 Aug 00:15 | Lanus v Argentinos Juniors | 2.72 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| 29 Aug 00:15 | Union Santa Fe v Sarmiento de Junin | 1.84 | 3.57 | 4.70 |
| 29 Aug 17:45 | Deportivo Riestra v Velez Sarsfield BA | 3.00 | 2.84 | 2.99 |
| 29 Aug 20:00 | Rosario Central v Gimnasia La Plata | 2.00 | 3.25 | 4.50 |
| 29 Aug 22:00 | Atlético Huracán v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.65 | 3.50 | 6.67 |
| 29 Aug 22:00 | Boca Juniors v Lanus | 1.76 | 3.50 | 5.80 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.40, with a 40% confidence rating.
Talleres are the favourites at 1.61, which implies about a 62% chance of winning. Central Córdoba are outsiders at 6.4, roughly a 16% implied probability.
The draw is priced at 3.65 with 1xBet, equal to an implied probability of around 27%.
Based on the data provided, no. The recommended Over 2.5 goals pick at 2.37 shows a negative value edge of -5.2%, and no other selections cleared the value threshold.
Talleres vs Central Córdoba takes place Sun · 00:30 in the Liga Profesional.
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