Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
SC Telstar are marginal favourites at 2.4 (about 42% implied), with Sparta Rotterdam at 2.87 (about 35%), a modest price gap that reflects a close match.
The draw at 3.75 implies roughly a 27% chance, a normal level for a finely balanced fixture.
Our model's edge sits on Under 3.0 goals at 1.82, with a value edge of about 10.17% versus the market price.
No match-result value picks cleared our threshold, so the goals market is where the model sees the strongest case.
Team form
Head-to-head: SC Telstar v Sparta Rotterdam
Full H2H history →W/D/L shown from SC Telstar's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
SC Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam: pre-match preview
This Eredivisie meeting between SC Telstar and Sparta Rotterdam is priced tightly enough that neither side stands out as a strong favourite. SC Telstar sit as narrow home favourites at 2.4 with Coolbet, which translates to roughly a 42% implied chance, while Sparta Rotterdam are offered at 2.87 with 1xBet, or about 35% in probability terms. The draw is available at 3.75 with Coolbet, implying close to a 27% likelihood, underlining how open the market considers this fixture. Rather than backing an outcome from a congested market, our model looks to the goals line. The recommended play here is Under 3.0 goals at 1.82 with Coolbet, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 48% and a calculated value edge of just over 10%. That combination of a fairly even result market and a lean towards a controlled scoreline shapes how we approach this one.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Under 3.0 goals at 1.82 with Coolbet, supported by a value edge of around 10% and roughly 48% implied confidence. It carries moderate risk given the tight result market and the possibility of an open game, so stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-3, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Eredivisie fixtures
All Eredivisie tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 18:00 | Groningen v Fortuna Sittard | 1.52 | 5.20 | 6.25 |
| 29 Aug 14:30 | Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam | 2.48 | 3.90 | 2.75 |
| 29 Aug 16:45 | AZ Alkmaar v Go Ahead Eagles | 1.41 | 5.60 | 7.30 |
| 29 Aug 19:00 | FC Zwolle v NEC Nijmegen | 4.50 | 4.53 | 1.74 |
| 30 Aug 10:15 | FC Utrecht v PSV Eindhoven | 4.53 | 4.75 | 1.69 |
| 30 Aug 12:30 | Feyenoord v ADO Den Haag | 1.18 | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| 30 Aug 12:30 | Willem II v Heerenveen | 4.10 | 4.30 | 1.88 |
| 30 Aug 14:45 | SC Telstar v Ajax | 5.00 | 4.80 | 1.66 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Eredivisie standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 | Go Ahead | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 2 | PSV | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Groningen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 | Sparta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 | Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 11 | NEC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 12 | Twente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Telstar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Under 3.0 goals at odds of 1.82.
SC Telstar are the narrow favourites at 2.4 with Coolbet, implying about a 42% chance. Sparta Rotterdam are priced at 2.87, or roughly 35%.
The draw is available at 3.75 with Coolbet, which implies a probability of around 27%.
No match-result selection cleared our value threshold. The model's value pick is Under 3.0 goals at 1.82 with Coolbet, showing an edge of about 10.17%.
The tip lost — final score 1-3 (-1.00u at flat stakes).