English 
Espaรฑol 
Portuguรชs 
Deutsch 
Franรงais 
Kiswahili 
Hausa 
แ แแญแ โฝ Eredivisie ๐ Sun ยท 14:45
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.79
โ
Official pick โ published to our graded record ยท backed by our goal model
ConfidenceValue ยท 59%
AI Value edge 5.86% ยท best price at 1xBet
Bet at 1xBet Our prediction
Key factors behind our tip
01
Ajax are favourites at 1.93 (about 52% implied), with SC Telstar at 3.8 (around 26%) reflecting a notable gap between the sides.
02
The draw is priced at 3.87 with 1xBet, close to the home win price and implying roughly 26%.
03
Our model's recommended bet is Under 3.0 goals at 1.87, flagged with an estimated value edge of 11.14%.
04
No match-result value picks cleared our threshold, so the total goals market offers the main angle here.
Most likely scorelines
Both teams to score: 59%| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.5% | 8.68 |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | 11.38 |
| 0-1 | 8.4% | 11.96 |
| 2-1 | 8.0% | 12.58 |
| 1-0 | 7.6% | 13.23 |
| 0-2 | 6.4% | 15.70 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.38 and 1.52. These six scorelines cover 51% of all outcomes โ the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Additional predictions
| Market | Odds | Value edge | Confidence | AI score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 4.80 | +3.9% | 22% | 56 |
Model-scored alternatives to the main tip โ every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.
Team form
ST SC Telstar WWWDW
8 Aug 26 @ NEC 2-1
17 May 26 @ Volendam 2-1
10 May 26 vs Heracles 3-0
2 May 26 @ NEC 1-1
22 Apr 26 vs Sparta 4-1
AJA Ajax WDLDW
9 Aug 26 @ Zwolle 2-0
17 May 26 @ Heerenveen 0-0
10 May 26 vs Utrecht 1-2
2 May 26 vs PSV 2-2
25 Apr 26 @ NAC 2-0
Head-to-head: SC Telstar v Ajax
Full H2H history โ L 11 Jan 26
Telstar 2-3 AjaxEredivisie
L 10 Aug 25
Ajax 2-0 TelstarEredivisie
W/D/L shown from SC Telstar's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Best odds across bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท ST | X | 2 ยท AJA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 4.90 | 4.50 | 1.66 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.80 | 1.61 |
| 1xBet | 4.83 | 4.63 | 1.62 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.65 | 4.40 | 1.65 |
| Coolbet | 4.75 | 4.50 | 1.61 |
| Pinnacle | 4.81 | 4.56 | 1.59 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
SC Telstar vs Ajax: match preview
This Eredivisie clash sees SC Telstar host Ajax, with the market leaving little doubt about who it favours. Ajax are priced at 1.93 with 1xBet, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 52%, marking them as clear favourites on the away side. SC Telstar are a longer shot at 3.8 with Tipico, implying around 26%, while the draw sits at 3.87 with 1xBet for a similar 26% share. The pricing paints a familiar picture of a stronger team travelling to face an outsider, though the odds are far from prohibitive. Rather than backing the match result, our model steers toward the goals market: Under 3.0 goals at 1.87 with Coolbet, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 47% and an estimated value edge of 11.14%. That makes the total, not the winner, the focus of this preview for the Telstar versus Ajax fixture.
Verdict: The recommended play is Under 3.0 goals at 1.87, supported by an estimated 11.14% value edge and roughly 47% model confidence. That confidence is below an even-money read, so treat it as a moderate-risk lean rather than a strong call, and stake responsibly.
Upcoming Eredivisie fixtures
All Eredivisie tips โ| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 18:00 | Groningen v Fortuna Sittard | 1.52 | 5.20 | 6.25 |
| 29 Aug 14:30 | Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam | 2.48 | 3.90 | 2.75 |
| 29 Aug 16:45 | AZ Alkmaar v Go Ahead Eagles | 1.41 | 5.60 | 7.30 |
| 29 Aug 19:00 | FC Zwolle v NEC Nijmegen | 4.50 | 4.53 | 1.74 |
| 30 Aug 10:15 | FC Utrecht v PSV Eindhoven | 4.53 | 4.75 | 1.69 |
| 30 Aug 12:30 | Feyenoord v ADO Den Haag | 1.18 | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| 30 Aug 12:30 | Willem II v Heerenveen | 4.10 | 4.30 | 1.88 |
| 30 Aug 18:00 | SC Cambuur v FC Twente Enschede | 8.70 | 5.60 | 1.36 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Eredivisie standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 | Go Ahead | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 2 | PSV | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Groningen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 | Sparta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 | Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 11 | NEC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 12 | Twente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Telstar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What is the prediction for SC Telstar vs Ajax?+
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.79, with a 59% confidence rating.
Who is the favourite for SC Telstar vs Ajax?+
Ajax are the favourites at 1.93 with 1xBet, an implied probability of about 52%. SC Telstar are priced at 3.8, around 26%.
What is the draw priced at?+
The draw is available at 3.87 with 1xBet, which implies roughly a 26% chance. That is very close to the price on a SC Telstar win.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
Our model highlights Under 3.0 goals at 1.87 with Coolbet, with an estimated value edge of 11.14% and about 47% implied confidence. No match-result selections met our value threshold.
When does the match kick off?+
SC Telstar vs Ajax takes place Sun ยท 14:45 in the Eredivisie.