Our prediction
Key factors behind our tip
AZ Alkmaar are strong favourites at 1.57, an implied probability of around 64%, well ahead of the field.
Go Ahead Eagles at 5.5 imply roughly 18%, marking a wide price gap between the two sides.
The draw is priced at 4.5, about 22% implied, sitting between the two match-result outcomes.
The recommended Over 3.0 goals bet at 1.68 carries a negative value edge of -5.69%, so the price offers no clear market advantage.
Team form
Best odds across bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท AA | X | 2 ยท GAE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40 | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| Betfair | 1.41 | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.41 | 5.36 | 6.86 |
| Coolbet | 1.40 | 5.25 | 7.00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40 | 5.33 | 6.85 |
| BetAnything | 1.40 | 5.33 | 6.85 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles: match preview
AZ Alkmaar host Go Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. AZ are priced at 1.57 with 1xBet, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 64%. Go Ahead Eagles are the clear outsiders at 5.5 (about 18% implied), while the draw sits at 4.5 (around 22%). Those numbers point to a home side the bookmakers see as comfortably in control, though nothing in football is settled before kick-off. Our model steers away from the match result and toward the goals market, recommending Over 3.0 goals at 1.68 with Coolbet, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 56%. It is worth noting this pick shows a negative value edge of -5.69%, meaning the odds may not fully reward the risk. Read on for the factors shaping this AZ Alkmaar versus Go Ahead Eagles preview.
Verdict: The model leans to Over 3.0 goals at 1.68, reflecting an expectation of an open, high-scoring game with about 56% implied confidence. Be aware the -5.69% value edge suggests the odds are slightly unfavourable, so treat this as a moderate-risk pick and stake responsibly.
Upcoming Eredivisie fixtures
All Eredivisie tips โ| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 18:00 | Groningen v Fortuna Sittard | 1.52 | 5.20 | 6.25 |
| 29 Aug 14:30 | Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam | 2.48 | 3.90 | 2.75 |
| 29 Aug 19:00 | FC Zwolle v NEC Nijmegen | 4.50 | 4.53 | 1.74 |
| 30 Aug 10:15 | FC Utrecht v PSV Eindhoven | 4.53 | 4.75 | 1.69 |
| 30 Aug 12:30 | Feyenoord v ADO Den Haag | 1.18 | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| 30 Aug 12:30 | Willem II v Heerenveen | 4.10 | 4.30 | 1.88 |
| 30 Aug 14:45 | SC Telstar v Ajax | 5.00 | 4.80 | 1.66 |
| 30 Aug 18:00 | SC Cambuur v FC Twente Enschede | 8.70 | 5.60 | 1.36 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Eredivisie standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 | Go Ahead | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 2 | PSV | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Groningen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 | Sparta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 | Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 11 | NEC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 12 | Twente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Telstar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.86, with a 52% confidence rating.
AZ Alkmaar are the clear favourites at 1.57, an implied probability of about 64%. Go Ahead Eagles are outsiders at 5.5, around 18%.
The draw is priced at 4.5 with Coolbet, which equates to an implied probability of roughly 22%.
No selection cleared our value threshold, and the recommended Over 3.0 goals pick actually shows a negative edge of -5.69%, meaning the price does not offer a clear advantage over the market.
AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles takes place Sat ยท 16:45 in the Eredivisie.