Jagiellonia Białystok vs Pogoń Szczecin Prediction & Result

Our published tip

⚽ Ekstraklasa 🕒 16 Aug 2026

Jagiellonia Białystok

Pogoń Szczecin

Our tip

Under 3.0 goals

Odds

1.76

VoidResult

0.00uProfit

52%Pre-match conf.

+2.92%CLV

AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Coolbet

Today's predictions →

Key factors behind our tip

Jagiellonia are the favourites at 2.3 (about 43% implied), but the gap to Pogoń at 3.02 (about 33%) is modest rather than decisive.

The draw is priced at 3.6, an implied chance near 28%, underlining a fixture the market sees as genuinely competitive.

Our model's only qualifying pick is Under 3.0 goals at 1.76, with a value edge of 13% and market-implied confidence of 52%.

No match-result selection cleared our value threshold, so the outright winner is not where the edge is judged to lie.

Team form

JB Jagiellonia Białystok L

9 Aug 26 vs Widzew Łódź 0-2

PS Pogoń Szczecin DW

23 Aug 26 vs Wisła Kraków 2-2

8 Aug 26 vs Motor Lublin 3-1

Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Pogoń Szczecin: pre-match preview

Jagiellonia Białystok host Pogoń Szczecin in this Ekstraklasa clash, and the market leans toward the home side without being fully convinced. Jagiellonia are priced at 2.3 with Coolbet, which translates to an implied win probability of roughly 43%, while Pogoń at 3.02 with Marathon Bet sit around 33%. The draw at 3.6 carries an implied chance of about 28%, reflecting a fixture the bookmakers view as competitive rather than one-sided. Once you strip out the margin, this reads as a moderate home edge with plenty of scope for an away result or a stalemate. Our model, however, steers attention away from the match result and toward the total. The recommended bet is Under 3.0 goals at 1.76 with Coolbet, carrying a market-implied confidence of 52% and a value edge of 13%. That makes the goals market the focal point of this preview rather than the outright winner.

Verdict: The recommended play is Under 3.0 goals at 1.76 with Coolbet, backed by a 13% value edge and roughly 52% confidence. It is a moderate-risk lean rather than a strong call, since the outcome remains uncertain. Stake responsibly and treat the edge as an angle, not a certainty.

How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.

Upcoming Ekstraklasa fixtures

All Ekstraklasa tips →

Kick-off (UTC)	Match	1	X	2
28 Aug 16:00	Wisła Płock v Korona Kielce	2.81	3.50	2.70
28 Aug 18:30	Legia Warszawa v Śląsk Wrocław	1.57	4.41	6.00
29 Aug 10:15	Radomiak Radom v Cracovia Kraków	3.06	3.59	2.35
29 Aug 12:45	Motor Lublin v Piast Gliwice	2.37	3.75	2.87
29 Aug 15:30	Wisła Kraków v Wieczysta Kraków	2.00	3.85	3.55
29 Aug 18:15	Zagłębie Lubin v Pogoń Szczecin	2.62	3.60	2.85
30 Aug 12:45	Raków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia Białystok	2.15	3.79	3.50
30 Aug 15:30	Górnik Zabrze v GKS Katowice	1.87	3.85	4.00

Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.

Match FAQ

What was our prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Pogoń Szczecin?+

Our tip was Under 3.0 goals at odds of 1.76.

Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Pogoń Szczecin?+

Jagiellonia Białystok are the favourites at 2.3, implying about a 43% win probability. Pogoń Szczecin are priced at 3.02, around 33%, so the home edge is present but not commanding.

What is the draw priced at for this Ekstraklasa match?+

The draw is available at 3.6 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 28% chance. That pricing reflects a fixture the market considers reasonably close.

Is there any value bet on this fixture?+

Our model flags Under 3.0 goals at 1.76 as the value pick, with a 13% edge and about 52% implied confidence. No match-result selection cleared the value threshold.

Did the tip win?+

The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).