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አማርኛ ⚽ Ekstraklasa 🕒 Sat · 10:15
Our tip
Radomiak Radom to win
Odds
3.06
★ Official pick — published to our graded record · backed by our goal model
ConfidenceValue · 37%
AI Value edge 12.37% · best price at Pinnacle
Bet at Pinnacle Our prediction
Key factors behind our tip
01
Radomiak Radom are marginal favourites at 2.55 (about 39% implied), edging Cracovia Kraków at 2.75 (about 36%).
02
The narrow price gap points to an evenly matched contest rather than a dominant home side.
03
The draw at 3.40 implies roughly a 29% chance, reflecting how competitive the market expects this to be.
04
Over 2.5 goals at 2.01 shows a -5.6% value edge, so the odds are slightly against the bettor despite around 47% implied confidence.
Most likely scorelines
Both teams to score: 53%| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.3% | 8.14 |
| 1-0 | 10.5% | 9.53 |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | 11.10 |
| 0-1 | 8.4% | 11.93 |
| 2-0 | 7.7% | 13.00 |
| 1-2 | 7.2% | 13.91 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.47 and 1.17. These six scorelines cover 55% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Team form
RR Radomiak Radom DLL
23 Aug 26 vs Zagłębie Lubin 0-0
14 Aug 26 @ Legia Warszawa 0-5
8 Aug 26 vs Górnik Zabrze 1-3
CK Cracovia Kraków WWD
21 Aug 26 vs Wieczysta Kraków 3-2
16 Aug 26 vs Raków Częstochowa 2-1
9 Aug 26 @ Śląsk Wrocław 0-0
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
Best odds across bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 · RR | X | 2 · CK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.06 | 3.59 | 2.22 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.35 |
| 1xBet | 3.00 | 3.44 | 2.22 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.99 | 3.44 | 2.20 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Kraków: match preview
This Ekstraklasa fixture sees Radomiak Radom host Cracovia Kraków in a match the bookmakers rate as tightly balanced. Radomiak are the narrow favourites at 2.55, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 39%, while Cracovia sit at 2.75, around 36%. The draw is priced at 3.40, or about 29%, underlining just how close the market considers these two sides. With no clear separation on the match-result line, the pricing reads as a genuine coin-flip contest rather than a mismatch. Our model looks past the winner market and toward goals, flagging Over 2.5 goals at 2.01 with a market-implied confidence of about 47%. It is worth noting that this selection carries a negative value edge of -5.6%, meaning the price does not currently offer an advantage over the market. Treat it as a lean rather than a strong recommendation, and stake within your usual limits.
Verdict: The model leans toward Over 2.5 goals at 2.01, backed by roughly 47% implied confidence. However, the negative value edge of -5.6% means the price is not in your favour, so this is a low-conviction pick. Stake modestly, if at all, and only within a controlled bankroll.
Upcoming Ekstraklasa fixtures
All Ekstraklasa tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 16:00 | Wisła Płock v Korona Kielce | 2.81 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| 28 Aug 18:30 | Legia Warszawa v Śląsk Wrocław | 1.57 | 4.41 | 6.00 |
| 29 Aug 12:45 | Motor Lublin v Piast Gliwice | 2.37 | 3.75 | 2.87 |
| 29 Aug 15:30 | Wisła Kraków v Wieczysta Kraków | 2.00 | 3.85 | 3.55 |
| 29 Aug 18:15 | Zagłębie Lubin v Pogoń Szczecin | 2.62 | 3.60 | 2.85 |
| 30 Aug 12:45 | Raków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia Białystok | 2.15 | 3.79 | 3.50 |
| 30 Aug 15:30 | Górnik Zabrze v GKS Katowice | 1.87 | 3.85 | 4.00 |
| 30 Aug 18:15 | Widzew Łódź v Lech Poznań | 3.00 | 3.81 | 2.30 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Kraków?+
Our tip is Radomiak Radom to win at odds of 3.06, with a 37% confidence rating.
Who is the favourite for Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Kraków?+
Radomiak Radom are the slight favourites at 2.55, ahead of Cracovia Kraków at 2.75. The small gap suggests the market sees this as a close match.
What are the draw odds for this Ekstraklasa match?+
The draw is priced at 3.40 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 29% chance of the game ending level.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.01 actually carries a negative edge of -5.6%, so there is no market-beating value here.
When does the match kick off?+
Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Kraków takes place Sat · 10:15 in the Ekstraklasa.