Ekstraklasa · Sat · 15:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
Wisła Kraków are the favourite at 2.0, implying about a 50% chance, with Wieczysta Kraków longer at 3.55 (roughly 28%).
The draw is priced at 3.85, giving the stalemate an implied probability of around 26%.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.61 carries a model confidence near 58%, suggesting an expectation of an open game.
The value edge on that Over 2.5 pick is negative at -6.15%, and no selections cleared the value threshold against market consensus.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · WK | X | 2 · WK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.00 | 3.85 | 3.40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96 | 3.65 | 3.55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96 | 3.65 | 3.55 |
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 3.72 | 3.35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.95 | 3.72 | 3.35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.97 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
This Ekstraklasa meeting between Wisła Kraków and Wieczysta Kraków carries a clear favourite according to the market. Wisła are priced at 2.0, which translates to roughly a 50% implied chance of taking the three points, while Wieczysta sit out at 3.55, or about 28% in probability terms. The draw is quoted at 3.85, implying near 26%. Those numbers point to a contest the market leans towards Wisła in, though not by a commanding margin given a home price of even money. Rather than backing the outright winner, our model looks to the goals market, flagging Over 2.5 goals at 1.61 as the recommended angle, with a market-implied confidence of around 58%. It is worth noting the calculated value edge on that selection is negative at -6.15%, so this is a lean based on model confidence rather than a clear pricing advantage over the bookmaker.
Verdict: The model's pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.61, backed by roughly 58% confidence. Be aware the value edge is negative, so this is a confidence-led lean rather than a priced-in advantage. Treat it as a moderate-risk play and stake within your usual limits.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 16:00 | Wisła Płock v Korona Kielce | 2.81 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| 28 Aug 18:30 | Legia Warszawa v Śląsk Wrocław | 1.57 | 4.41 | 6.00 |
| 29 Aug 10:15 | Radomiak Radom v Cracovia Kraków | 3.06 | 3.59 | 2.35 |
| 29 Aug 12:45 | Motor Lublin v Piast Gliwice | 2.37 | 3.75 | 2.87 |
| 29 Aug 18:15 | Zagłębie Lubin v Pogoń Szczecin | 2.62 | 3.60 | 2.85 |
| 30 Aug 12:45 | Raków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia Białystok | 2.15 | 3.79 | 3.50 |
| 30 Aug 15:30 | Górnik Zabrze v GKS Katowice | 1.87 | 3.85 | 4.00 |
| 30 Aug 18:15 | Widzew Łódź v Lech Poznań | 3.00 | 3.81 | 2.30 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.61, with a 58% confidence rating.
Wisła Kraków are the market favourite at 2.0, implying about a 50% chance. Wieczysta Kraków are the underdogs at 3.55, roughly 28%.
The draw is priced at 3.85 with Coolbet, which equates to an implied probability of around 26%.
No selection cleared our value threshold against the market consensus. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.61 actually shows a negative value edge of -6.15%, so it is a confidence-based lean rather than a value play.
Wisła Kraków vs Wieczysta Kraków takes place Sat · 15:30 in the Ekstraklasa.
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