Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
The price gap is significant: Sirius at 1.77 (about 56% implied) versus BK Hacken at 4.2 (about 24%) shows a strong home favourite.
The draw is priced at 4.4, near 23% implied, and the model assigns it a fair probability of 24% for a small 6.36% edge.
BK Hacken as the away underdog at 4.2 carries a modest value edge of 3.65% against a fair probability of 25%.
The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 1.98 has around 48% implied confidence but a negative value edge of -4.36%, so it is a lean rather than a pricing advantage.
Team form
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
Head-to-head: IK Sirius v BK Hacken
W/D/L shown from IK Sirius's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
IK Sirius vs BK Hacken: pre-match preview
IK Sirius host BK Hacken in this Allsvenskan fixture, and the market leaves little doubt about which side it prefers. Sirius are priced at 1.77 with Unibet (SE), which translates to an implied probability of roughly 56%, marking them as clear home favourites. BK Hacken are the outsiders at 4.2, or about 24% implied, while the draw sits at 4.4, close to a 23% chance. Those numbers frame a contest the bookmakers expect Sirius to control without treating it as a foregone conclusion. Our model, however, looks past the match result and towards goals: the recommended angle is Over 3.5 goals at 1.98 with GTbets, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 48%. It is worth noting the listed value edge on that selection is negative at -4.36%, so it reflects the model's lean on an entertaining, open game rather than a clear pricing bargain against the market.
Verdict: The model's pick is Over 3.5 goals at 1.98, a bet on an open, high-scoring game rather than the result. Be aware the value edge is negative at -4.36%, making this a higher-variance play. If you back it, stake responsibly and keep it within a sensible bankroll.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-3, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
Upcoming Allsvenskan fixtures
All Allsvenskan tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 17:00 | Malmo FF v Djurgardens IF | 2.63 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| 29 Aug 13:00 | IF Elfsborg v Degerfors IF | 1.61 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| 29 Aug 13:00 | BK Hacken v Västerås SK | 1.52 | 4.90 | 6.25 |
| 29 Aug 15:30 | Halmstads BK v Kalmar FF | 3.50 | 3.55 | 2.16 |
| 30 Aug 12:00 | AIK v Hammarby IF | 5.40 | 4.79 | 1.59 |
| 30 Aug 14:30 | IFK Goteborg v Örgryte IS | 1.60 | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| 31 Aug 17:00 | GAIS v IF Brommapojkarna | 1.77 | 4.07 | 4.83 |
| 31 Aug 17:00 | IK Sirius v Malmo FF | 1.79 | 4.25 | 4.30 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was IK Sirius to win at odds of 1.86.
IK Sirius are the market favourites at 1.77, which implies roughly a 56% chance. BK Hacken are the outsiders at 4.2, around 24% implied.
The draw is available at 4.4, equivalent to about a 23% implied probability. Our model rates its fair probability slightly higher at 24%, giving a 6.36% edge.
The model flags small edges on the draw (6.36%) and BK Hacken (3.65%). The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 1.98 actually shows a negative edge of -4.36%, so it is a lean on goals rather than a clear value pick.
The tip lost — final score 0-3 (-1.00u at flat stakes).