Liga Profesional · kicked off 22 Aug 2026 — the tip we published before the match and how it settled.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
Atletico Tucuman are marginal favourites at 2.55 (about 39% implied), just ahead of Instituto de Cordoba at 3.09 (roughly 32%).
The draw is priced at 2.96, implying near 34%, which reflects how closely the market rates the two teams.
The recommended Over 1.5 goals bet at 1.55 carries a market-implied confidence of about 61%.
No selection cleared our value threshold, and the Over 1.5 pick shows a negative edge of -5.21%, so the price offers no clear overlay.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
W/D/L shown from Atlético Tucuman's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
This Liga Profesional meeting between Atletico Tucuman and Instituto de Cordoba sees the home side installed as narrow favourites. At 2.55, Atletico Tucuman carry an implied probability of roughly 39%, while Instituto de Cordoba, priced at 3.09, sit closer to 32%. The draw at 2.96 translates to about 34%, underlining how tight the market views this contest. Those figures leave little separating the two teams, so the outcome is genuinely open according to the prices. Rather than backing a side outright, our model points toward Over 1.5 goals at 1.55, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 61%. It is worth flagging that the calculated value edge here is negative at -5.21%, meaning the price is slightly shorter than our model would ideally want. That makes this a lean based on goal expectation rather than a standout value opportunity in the match-result market.
Verdict: The lean is Over 1.5 goals at 1.55, backed by roughly 61% implied confidence but a negative value edge of -5.21%. It is a modest goals-based angle rather than a value play, so treat it as low conviction and stake responsibly given how evenly the match-result market is priced.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-0, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 22:00 | CA Tigre BA v Central Córdoba | 1.70 | 3.61 | 7.30 |
| 25 Aug 00:15 | Talleres v Rosario Central | 2.86 | 3.05 | 3.03 |
| 25 Aug 00:15 | Lanus v Argentinos Juniors | 2.72 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| 29 Aug 00:15 | Union Santa Fe v Sarmiento de Junin | 1.84 | 3.57 | 4.70 |
| 29 Aug 17:45 | Deportivo Riestra v Velez Sarsfield BA | 3.00 | 2.84 | 2.99 |
| 29 Aug 20:00 | Rosario Central v Gimnasia La Plata | 2.00 | 3.25 | 4.50 |
| 29 Aug 22:00 | Atlético Huracán v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.65 | 3.50 | 6.67 |
| 29 Aug 22:00 | Boca Juniors v Lanus | 1.76 | 3.50 | 5.80 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip was Atlético Tucuman to win at odds of 2.78.
Atletico Tucuman are the slight favourites at 2.55, implying about a 39% chance. Instituto de Cordoba are priced at 3.09, close to 32%, so the gap is small.
The draw is available at 2.96, which equates to an implied probability of around 34%. That pricing reflects a genuinely tight contest in the market's view.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 1.5 goals at 1.55 even shows a negative edge of -5.21%, so it is a lean on goals rather than a value bet.
The tip lost — final score 0-0 (-1.00u at flat stakes).
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