Liga MX · Sat · 01:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
León are the market favourite at 2.14 (about 47% implied), ahead of Atlante FC at 3.05 (about 33%).
The draw is priced at 3.4, implying roughly 29%, keeping all three outcomes realistically in play.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.71 carries around 54% implied confidence but a negative value edge of -7.39%.
No value picks cleared our threshold against market consensus for this fixture.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · AF | X | 2 · LEÓ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.80 | 3.45 | 2.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Coolbet | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70 | 3.39 | 2.60 |
| GTbets | 2.74 | 3.35 | 2.52 |
| Nordic Bet | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.52 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
This Liga MX meeting sees Atlante FC host León, with the market clearly leaning towards the visitors. León are priced at 2.14 by Unibet (SE), which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 47%, while Atlante FC sit at 3.05, or about 33%. The draw is pegged at 3.4, implying close to 29%. Those numbers place León as the favourite, though not an overwhelming one, and the gap between the two sides leaves room for a competitive night. Our model's attention, however, is on the goals market rather than the outright winner. The recommended bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.71, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 54%. It is worth noting this pick shows a negative value edge of -7.39%, meaning the price is not in your favour relative to our model's estimate. That is an important caveat before any stake is considered on this Atlante FC versus León fixture.
Verdict: The model points to Over 2.5 goals at 1.71, with market-implied confidence near 54%. Be aware the -7.39% value edge means the odds are unfavourable versus our estimate, so this is a lower-conviction pick. Treat it cautiously and stake within a sensible bankroll.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 01:00 | Necaxa v Cruz Azul | 3.80 | 3.85 | 2.00 |
| 29 Aug 03:00 | Tijuana v Pumas | 2.40 | 3.50 | 3.08 |
| 29 Aug 23:00 | Atlas v Querétaro | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.48 |
| 29 Aug 23:00 | Pachuca v Guadalajara | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| 30 Aug 01:00 | América v Puebla | 1.38 | 5.35 | 8.80 |
| 30 Aug 03:00 | Santos Laguna v Tigres | 4.48 | 4.03 | 1.75 |
| 31 Aug 00:00 | Toluca v FC Juárez | 1.28 | 6.22 | 10.50 |
| 31 Aug 02:00 | Monterrey v Atlético San Luis | 1.54 | 4.66 | 6.04 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.77, with a 54% confidence rating.
León are the favourite at odds of 2.14 with Unibet (SE), implying roughly a 47% chance. Atlante FC are priced at 3.05, around 33%.
The draw is priced at 3.4 by Unibet (SE), which implies a probability of about 29%.
No value picks cleared our threshold here. The model's Over 2.5 goals suggestion at 1.71 actually shows a negative value edge of -7.39%, so the price is not in your favour.
Atlante FC vs León takes place Sat · 01:00 in the Liga MX.
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