League One ยท Sat ยท 14:00 โ our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 ยท how we work
Stockport County are the market favourites at 2.0, implying around a 50% chance of a home win.
Wycombe Wanderers are priced at 3.63 (about 28% implied), only marginally longer than the 3.6 draw, pointing to a close-run outsider and stalemate market.
The recommended Under 2.5 goals bet at 1.97 carries a market-implied confidence of 48% but a negative value edge of -5.4%.
No value picks cleared the threshold against market consensus, indicating limited edge across the board.
| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.1% | 9.03 |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | 10.57 |
| 1-0 | 8.8% | 11.31 |
| 2-0 | 7.5% | 13.25 |
| 1-2 | 6.9% | 14.41 |
| 0-1 | 6.5% | 15.41 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.71 and 1.25. These six scorelines cover 50% of all outcomes โ the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท SCF | X | 2 ยท WW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.02 | 3.46 | 3.68 |
| 1xBet | 2.00 | 3.45 | 3.60 |
| Coolbet | 1.98 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.98 | 3.45 | 3.60 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
Stockport County host Wycombe Wanderers in this League One clash, and the market leans towards the home side. At a best price of 2.0, Stockport are the favourites, with those odds implying roughly a 50% chance of victory. Wycombe are the outsiders at 3.63, translating to about a 28% implied probability, while the draw sits at 3.6, close to a 28% chance in the market's view. That is a fairly tight structure, with only a modest gap separating the away win and the draw. Our model's attention falls not on the match result but on the goals market, where Under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.97 with Coolbet. However, the calculated value edge is negative at -5.4%, so this is flagged as a lean rather than a strong recommendation. In short, Stockport are favoured, but the pricing suggests a competitive contest rather than a one-sided outcome.
Verdict: The lean is Under 2.5 goals at 1.97, reflecting a near coin-flip 48% confidence. With a negative value edge of -5.4%, this is a low-conviction pick rather than a standout play. Treat it cautiously and stake within your usual limits.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 11:30 | Blackpool v Peterborough United | 1.77 | 4.05 | 4.25 |
| 29 Aug 11:30 | Milton Keynes Dons v Leicester City | 2.90 | 3.56 | 2.42 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Stevenage v Doncaster Rovers | 2.24 | 3.30 | 3.32 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Leyton Orient v Barnsley | 2.28 | 3.73 | 3.05 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Plymouth Argyle v Bradford City | 2.28 | 3.63 | 3.20 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Sheffield Wednesday v Bromley FC | 1.90 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Notts County v Burton Albion | 2.33 | 3.40 | 3.15 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Cambridge United v Huddersfield Town | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.83, with a 52% confidence rating.
Stockport County are the favourites at a best price of 2.0, which implies roughly a 50% chance of a home win. Wycombe are the outsiders at 3.63.
The draw is priced at 3.6 with Coolbet, implying around a 28% chance. That is almost identical to Wycombe's win price of 3.63.
No value picks cleared our threshold. The suggested Under 2.5 goals bet at 1.97 actually shows a negative value edge of -5.4%, so it is a low-conviction lean at best.
Stockport County FC vs Wycombe Wanderers takes place Sat ยท 14:00 in the League One.
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