League One ยท Sat ยท 14:00 โ our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 ยท how we work
Notts County are marginal favourites at 2.51 (around 40% implied), only fractionally ahead of Burton Albion at 2.65 (around 38%).
The narrow price gap suggests the market sees this as close to a coin-flip between the two sides.
The draw at 3.4 implies roughly a 29% chance, a fairly standard price for an evenly matched fixture.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.89 sits at about 50% implied confidence but carries a negative value edge of -5.5%, so it lacks a clear market edge.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท NC | X | 2 ยท BA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.30 | 3.35 | 3.10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.26 | 3.07 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.28 | 3.26 | 3.06 |
| Coolbet | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
This League One meeting between Notts County and Burton Albion arrives with a tightly balanced market. Notts County are the narrow favourites at 2.51, which implies roughly a 40% chance of victory, while Burton Albion are close behind at 2.65, translating to around 38%. The draw is priced at 3.4, about a 29% implied probability before the margin is stripped out. Those numbers point to a genuinely open contest rather than a clear home advantage. Our model instead looks past the result market and toward goals, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 1.89, a price that carries a market-implied confidence of about 50%. It is worth noting that this selection shows a negative value edge of -5.5% against the current line, so it is not a standout value play. With prices this close, staying disciplined with stakes makes sense for anyone weighing up this fixture.
Verdict: The model leans toward Over 2.5 goals at 1.89, reflecting expectation of an open game. However, with a -5.5% value edge, this is not a strong value bet and should be treated as a modest, higher-risk lean rather than a confident call. Stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 11:30 | Blackpool v Peterborough United | 1.77 | 4.05 | 4.25 |
| 29 Aug 11:30 | Milton Keynes Dons v Leicester City | 2.90 | 3.56 | 2.42 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Stevenage v Doncaster Rovers | 2.24 | 3.30 | 3.32 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Leyton Orient v Barnsley | 2.28 | 3.73 | 3.05 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Plymouth Argyle v Bradford City | 2.28 | 3.63 | 3.20 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Sheffield Wednesday v Bromley FC | 1.90 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Stockport County FC v Wycombe Wanderers | 2.02 | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Cambridge United v Huddersfield Town | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.04, with a 48% confidence rating.
Notts County are the slight favourites at 2.51, just ahead of Burton Albion at 2.65. The gap is small, so the market views this as a close contest.
The draw is available at 3.4 with 1xBet, which implies roughly a 29% chance before accounting for the bookmaker margin.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.89 actually shows a negative edge of -5.5%, so there is no clear value on offer here.
Notts County vs Burton Albion takes place Sat ยท 14:00 in the League One.
English 
Espaรฑol 
Portuguรชs 
Deutsch 
Franรงais 
Kiswahili 
Hausa 
แ แแญแ