Eliteserien · Sun · 15:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
HamKam are the market favourites at 1.95 (about 51% implied), while Kristiansund BK at 3.85 imply roughly 26%.
The draw is priced at 3.81, almost identical to the away win, both sitting around 26% implied probability.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.77 has an implied confidence near 54% but carries a negative value edge of -4.37%.
No value picks cleared our threshold for this fixture, indicating the prices broadly align with the model rather than offering an edge.
| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 11.2% | 8.96 |
| 1-1 | 11.1% | 9.03 |
| 2-0 | 9.9% | 10.10 |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | 10.18 |
| 0-0 | 6.3% | 15.90 |
| 0-1 | 6.2% | 16.03 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.77 and 0.99. These six scorelines cover 54% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · HAM | X | 2 · KB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.95 | 3.45 | 4.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 3.93 | 3.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.59 | 4.19 |
| GTbets | 1.90 | 3.65 | 3.86 |
| Nordic Bet | 1.88 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Betsson | 1.88 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
HamKam host Kristiansund BK in this Eliteserien fixture, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. HamKam are priced at 1.95, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 51%, marking them as clear home favourites. Kristiansund BK sit at 3.85, or about 26% implied, while the draw is close behind at 3.81, near 26%. That spread suggests the market sees a competitive edge for HamKam without treating the outcome as a foregone conclusion. Our model, rather than focusing on the match result, leans towards the goals market: Over 2.5 goals at 1.77, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 54%. It is worth noting this pick shows a negative value edge of -4.37%, meaning the price does not offer an advantage over the market. There were no value picks above our threshold for this HamKam versus Kristiansund BK meeting, so treat any interest here with measured expectations.
Verdict: The model points to Over 2.5 goals at 1.77, with an implied confidence around 54%. Honestly, the negative value edge of -4.37% means there is no pricing advantage here, so this is a low-conviction lean at best. Stake cautiously and only within your normal bankroll limits.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Vålerenga v Molde | 2.82 | 4.08 | 2.48 |
| 29 Aug 16:00 | Viking FK v Aalesund | 1.29 | 6.50 | 9.66 |
| 30 Aug 12:30 | Bodø/Glimt v Rosenborg | 1.36 | 5.80 | 8.60 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | Sandefjord v SK Brann | 3.28 | 3.87 | 2.19 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | Tromso v Sarpsborg FK | 1.68 | 4.29 | 5.09 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | IK Start v KFUM | 2.43 | 3.76 | 3.20 |
| 30 Aug 17:15 | Lillestrom v Fredrikstad FK | 1.73 | 4.19 | 5.30 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.28, with a 43% confidence rating.
HamKam are the favourites at 1.95, an implied probability of roughly 51%. Kristiansund BK are the outsiders at 3.85, around 26%.
The draw is priced at 3.81, which implies about a 26% chance. That is very close to the odds for a Kristiansund BK win.
No value picks cleared our threshold for this match. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.77 actually shows a negative value edge of -4.37%, so the price offers no advantage over the market.
HamKam vs Kristiansund BK takes place Sun · 15:00 in the Eliteserien.
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