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አማርኛ ⚽ Eliteserien 🕒 Sun · 12:30
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.95
★ Official pick — published to our graded record · backed by our goal model
ConfidenceValue · 53%
AI Value edge 4.22% · best price at 1xBet
Bet at 1xBet Our prediction
Key factors behind our tip
01
The match-result market strongly favours Bodø/Glimt at 1.34 (about 75% implied), with Rosenborg out at 8.2 (roughly 12%).
02
The draw is priced at 5.78, implying around 17%, though our model's fair probability of 21% suggests a notable 19.96% value edge there.
03
Our recommended pick, Under 3.5 goals at 1.99, shows a 4.56% value edge with roughly 53% implied confidence.
04
The wide price gap reflects a heavily one-sided market, which is why the goals total may offer steadier value than the outright winner.
Most likely scorelines
Both teams to score: 51%| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 11.6% | 8.64 |
| 1-0 | 9.5% | 10.49 |
| 3-0 | 9.4% | 10.65 |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | 10.68 |
| 1-1 | 7.7% | 12.99 |
| 3-1 | 7.6% | 13.18 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 2.43 and 0.81. These six scorelines cover 55% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Team form
BOD Bodø/Glimt W
8 Aug 26 @ Vålerenga 2-1
ROS Rosenborg WW
14 Aug 26 vs Viking FK 2-1
9 Aug 26 @ Lillestrom 2-0
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
Best odds across bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 · BOD | X | 2 · ROS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.36 | 5.55 | 8.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 5.69 | 7.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34 | 5.80 | 7.37 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 5.20 | 7.80 |
| GTbets | 1.35 | 5.58 | 7.22 |
| Nordic Bet | 1.36 | 4.75 | 8.60 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Bodø/Glimt vs Rosenborg: match preview
This Eliteserien meeting sees Bodø/Glimt hosting Rosenborg as clear market favourites. At a best price of 1.34, Bodø/Glimt are priced with an implied probability of around 75%, marking them as strong favourites according to the odds. Rosenborg, by contrast, are a long shot at 8.2, which translates to roughly 12% implied probability, while the draw sits at 5.78 (about 17%). The gap between the two sides is substantial in the eyes of the market. Rather than backing a heavily odds-on favourite, our model instead leans toward the goals market, recommending Under 3.5 goals at 1.99. That price carries a market-implied confidence of about 53% and a modest value edge of 4.56%, suggesting the total-goals angle may offer better relative value than the lopsided match-result prices in this fixture between Bodø/Glimt and Rosenborg.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.99, backed by a 4.56% value edge and around 53% implied confidence. This is a moderate-risk selection close to even money, offering better relative value than the lopsided match-result prices. As always, stake responsibly and treat the edge as an estimate, not a certainty.
Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
All Eliteserien tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Vålerenga v Molde | 2.82 | 4.08 | 2.48 |
| 29 Aug 16:00 | Viking FK v Aalesund | 1.29 | 6.50 | 9.66 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | Sandefjord v SK Brann | 3.28 | 3.87 | 2.19 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | Tromso v Sarpsborg FK | 1.68 | 4.29 | 5.09 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | HamKam v Kristiansund BK | 1.95 | 3.93 | 4.20 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | IK Start v KFUM | 2.43 | 3.76 | 3.20 |
| 30 Aug 17:15 | Lillestrom v Fredrikstad FK | 1.73 | 4.19 | 5.30 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What is the prediction for Bodø/Glimt vs Rosenborg?+
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.95, with a 53% confidence rating.
Who is the favourite for Bodø/Glimt vs Rosenborg?+
Bodø/Glimt are the clear favourites at a best price of 1.34, which implies roughly a 75% chance. Rosenborg are the outsiders at 8.2, around 12% implied probability.
What are the draw odds for this match?+
The draw is available at a best price of 5.78, implying about a 17% chance. Our model rates its fair probability slightly higher at 21%, pointing to a possible value edge.
Is there any value in this fixture?+
Our model highlights Under 3.5 goals at 1.99 with a 4.56% edge as the recommended bet, and also flags the draw at 5.78 as carrying a 19.96% edge versus its fair probability. Both are estimates, so outcomes remain uncertain.
When does the match kick off?+
Bodø/Glimt vs Rosenborg takes place Sun · 12:30 in the Eliteserien.