Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Raków Częstochowa are marginal favourites at 2.58 (about 39% implied), narrowly ahead of Cracovia Kraków at 2.85 (about 35%).
The tight price gap points to a closely matched contest with no strong market lean either way.
The draw is priced at 3.4, implying roughly a 29% probability of a stalemate.
Our recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.08 shows a negative value edge of -5.26%, so the price is slightly shorter than our fair estimate.
Team form
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
Head-to-head: Cracovia Kraków v Raków Częstochowa
W/D/L shown from Cracovia Kraków's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Cracovia Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa: pre-match preview
This Ekstraklasa clash pits Cracovia Kraków against Raków Częstochowa in a match the bookmakers see as tightly balanced. The market marginally favours the visitors, with Raków priced at 2.58 (around 39% implied probability) versus Cracovia at 2.85 (roughly 35%). That is a narrow gap, suggesting oddsmakers view this as close to a coin flip between the two sides. The draw sits at 3.4, implying about a 29% chance of honours ending even, which is fairly typical for a game with no clear favourite. Rather than picking a winner, our model leans toward the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 2.08 with Nordic Bet. That price carries a market-implied confidence near 46%, though it currently shows a negative value edge of around -5.26%, meaning the odds sit slightly below what our model considers fair value.
Verdict: The recommendation is Over 2.5 goals at 2.08, backed by a market-implied confidence around 46%. Be aware the value edge is negative at -5.26%, meaning the odds are marginally below fair value. Treat this as a modest-confidence pick and stake responsibly rather than chasing.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Ekstraklasa fixtures
All Ekstraklasa tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 16:00 | Wisła Płock v Korona Kielce | 2.81 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| 28 Aug 18:30 | Legia Warszawa v Śląsk Wrocław | 1.57 | 4.41 | 6.00 |
| 29 Aug 10:15 | Radomiak Radom v Cracovia Kraków | 3.06 | 3.59 | 2.35 |
| 29 Aug 12:45 | Motor Lublin v Piast Gliwice | 2.37 | 3.75 | 2.87 |
| 29 Aug 15:30 | Wisła Kraków v Wieczysta Kraków | 2.00 | 3.85 | 3.55 |
| 29 Aug 18:15 | Zagłębie Lubin v Pogoń Szczecin | 2.62 | 3.60 | 2.85 |
| 30 Aug 12:45 | Raków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia Białystok | 2.15 | 3.79 | 3.50 |
| 30 Aug 15:30 | Górnik Zabrze v GKS Katowice | 1.87 | 3.85 | 4.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Raków Częstochowa to win at odds of 2.72.
Raków Częstochowa are slight favourites at 2.58 (about 39% implied), just ahead of Cracovia Kraków at 2.85 (about 35%). The gap is narrow, so the market sees this as a close match.
The draw is available at 3.4, which implies roughly a 29% chance of the game ending level.
Our model's recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.08 currently shows a negative value edge of -5.26%, and no value picks cleared our threshold, so there is no clear edge based on the data provided.
The tip lost — final score 2-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).