Betting Model Results Week 30 2026: 24W

Week results

57Tips

57Settled

24Won

32Lost

42.9%Strike rate

-2.66uProfit

-4.7%ROI

Mon

—

Tue

—

Wed

—

Thu

-1.79u

Fri

—

Sat

-3.66u

Sun

+2.79u

Week 30 in review

Week 30 closed as a losing one for the model. Across 57 published tips, 57 settled with 24 winners, 32 losers and one void, leaving flat 1-unit staking at -2.66u and an ROI of -4.7% per graded bet. The split by league tells the clearest story: Brasile\u00edrao carried the week at 14W-18L for +2.43u, while MLS dragged results down at 10W-14L for -5.09u. By market, over/under totals landed 20W-19L (-1.99u) and match result stayed thin at 4W-13L (-0.67u). The standout was Atletico Mineiro at 6.0 winning 1-2 at Palmeiras; the disappointment was a backed Vitoria that ended 0-0. Honest takeaway: a negative week on strike rate and returns, with the 1X2 selections notably underperforming their prices.

By market

Over/Under totals	40 tips · 20W–19L–1V · -1.99u (ROI -5.1%)
Match result (1X2)	17 tips · 4W–13L · -0.67u (ROI -3.9%)

By league

Brasileirão	32 tips · 14W–18L · +2.43u (ROI +7.6%)
MLS	25 tips · 10W–14L–1V · -5.09u (ROI -21.2%)

Full log

Thursday 23 July

L 22:30

Botafogo v VitoriaVitoria to win · final 0-0

5.20 -1.00u L 22:30

Corinthians v RemoRemo to win · final 3-0

8.00 -1.00u L 22:30

Corinthians v RemoUnder 2.5 goals · final 3-0

1.93 -1.00u W 22:30

Corinthians v RemoUnder 4.5 goals · final 3-0

1.50 +0.50u L 22:30

Botafogo v VitoriaOver 1.0 goals · final 0-0

1.71 -1.00u W 22:30

Botafogo v VitoriaDraw (X) · final 0-0

1.93 +0.93u W 22:30

Corinthians v RemoUnder 3.5 goals · final 3-0

1.78 +0.78u

Saturday 25 July

W 21:30

Atletico Paranaense v InternacionalUnder 2.5 goals · final 2-0

1.67 +0.67u L 21:30

Santos v ChapecoenseChapecoense to win · final 2-2

9.20 -1.00u W 21:30

Santos v ChapecoenseOver 2.5 goals · final 2-2

1.73 +0.73u L 21:30

Santos v ChapecoenseUnder 2.5 goals · final 2-2

2.22 -1.00u L 21:30

Atletico Paranaense v InternacionalInternacional to win · final 2-0

4.50 -1.00u L 22:30

New York Red Bulls v Charlotte FCOver 3.0 goals · final 0-2

1.85 -1.00u W 23:15

Columbus Crew SC v FC CincinnatiOver 2.5 goals · final 2-1

1.39 +0.39u W 23:30

New York City FC v Chicago FireOver 2.5 goals · final 3-1

1.69 +0.69u L 23:30

Philadelphia Union v Seattle Sounders FCOver 2.5 goals · final 1-0

1.71 -1.00u W 23:30

New England Revolution v Atlanta United FCOver 2.5 goals · final 4-1

1.79 +0.79u W 23:30

D.C. United v Toronto FCOver 2.5 goals · final 2-1

1.93 +0.93u L 23:30

Vasco da Gama v MirassolOver 2.5 goals · final 1-1

2.08 -1.00u W 23:30

Orlando City SC v Nashville SCUnder 2.5 goals · final 1-0

2.36 +1.36u L 23:30

CF Montreal v Inter Miami CFDraw (X) · final 0-1

4.30 -1.00u W 23:30

Vasco da Gama v MirassolUnder 2.5 goals · final 1-1

1.78 +0.78u L 23:30

CF Montreal v Inter Miami CFOver 2.5 goals · final 0-1

1.41 -1.00u L 23:30

Orlando City SC v Nashville SCOver 2.5 goals · final 1-0

1.61 -1.00u L 23:30

New England Revolution v Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC to win · final 4-1

3.85 -1.00u

Sunday 26 July

L 00:30

St. Louis City SC v Colorado RapidsOver 2.5 goals · final 1-0

1.61 -1.00u L 00:30

Minnesota United FC v Vancouver Whitecaps FCOver 3.0 goals · final 0-0

2.01 -1.00u L 00:30

Houston Dynamo v Austin FCAustin FC to win · final 3-0

5.00 -1.00u W 00:30

Houston Dynamo v Austin FCOver 2.5 goals · final 3-0

1.75 +0.75u W 00:30

St. Louis City SC v Colorado RapidsUnder 2.5 goals · final 1-0

2.46 +1.46u W 01:30

San Diego FC v FC DallasUnder 3.5 goals · final 1-0

1.81 +0.81u L 01:30

San Diego FC v FC DallasFC Dallas to win · final 1-0

3.40 -1.00u V 02:30

Portland Timbers v Real Salt LakeOver 3.0 goals · final 2-1

1.74 0.00u W 02:30

San Jose Earthquakes v LA GalaxyUnder 3.5 goals · final 1-1

1.80 +0.80u L 02:30

Los Angeles FC v Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City to win · final 4-0

12.50 -1.00u L 02:30

Los Angeles FC v Sporting Kansas CityUnder 3.5 goals · final 4-0

2.04 -1.00u L 02:30

San Jose Earthquakes v LA GalaxyOver 3.5 goals · final 1-1

2.10 -1.00u L 02:30

Portland Timbers v Real Salt LakeOver 3.5 goals · final 2-1

2.17 -1.00u W 02:30

Los Angeles FC v Sporting Kansas CityOver 3.5 goals · final 4-0

1.93 +0.93u W 19:00

Bahia v CorinthiansUnder 2.5 goals · final 1-1

1.82 +0.82u L 19:00

Cruzeiro v BotafogoOver 2.5 goals · final 0-1

1.98 -1.00u W 19:00

Cruzeiro v BotafogoUnder 2.5 goals · final 0-1

1.96 +0.96u L 19:00

Bahia v CorinthiansOver 2.5 goals · final 1-1

2.03 -1.00u W 19:00

Cruzeiro v BotafogoBotafogo to win · final 0-1

4.90 +3.90u W 21:30

Bragantino-SP v CoritibaUnder 2.5 goals · final 0-0

1.88 +0.88u W 21:30

Grêmio v FluminenseUnder 2.5 goals · final 1-1

1.92 +0.92u L 21:30

Flamengo v Sao PauloSao Paulo to win · final 1-1

7.80 -1.00u L 21:30

Flamengo v Sao PauloOver 2.5 goals · final 1-1

1.92 -1.00u W 21:30

Grêmio v FluminenseDraw (X) · final 1-1

3.50 +2.50u L 21:30

Bragantino-SP v CoritibaCoritiba to win · final 0-0

5.75 -1.00u L 21:30

Grêmio v FluminenseOver 2.5 goals · final 1-1

1.99 -1.00u L 22:30

Remo v VitoriaOver 2.5 goals · final 2-0

2.07 -1.00u W 22:30

Palmeiras v Atletico MineiroAtletico Mineiro to win · final 1-2

6.00 +5.00u L 22:30

Remo v VitoriaVitoria to win · final 2-0

3.55 -1.00u L 22:30

Palmeiras v Atletico MineiroDraw (X) · final 1-2

3.85 -1.00u L 22:30

Palmeiras v Atletico MineiroUnder 2.5 goals · final 1-2

1.85 -1.00u W 22:30

Palmeiras v Atletico MineiroOver 2.5 goals · final 1-2

2.06 +1.06u

Stakes are flat 1u per tip. Kick-offs shown in UTC. Results are graded automatically after full time.

Allweeks →Week 31

Week 30 results FAQ

Did the prediction model make a profit this week?+

No. The week settled at a loss of 2.66 units at flat 1-unit stakes, with a record of 24 wins, 32 losses and one void from 57 tips. That works out to an ROI of about -4.7% per graded bet.

Which league performed best in the recap?+

Brasile\u00edrao was the only league in the black this week, finishing 14 wins and 18 losses for a profit of 2.43 units. MLS was the drag, going 10-14 for a loss of 5.09 units, so the two effectively pulled against each other.

Are over/under totals or match result bets better with this model?+

This week over/under totals went 20-19 for -1.99u, while match result (1X2) tips landed just 4-13 for -0.67u. A single week is far too small to declare one market stronger, since variance can swing results either way over so few bets.