English ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 26 Jul 2026
Our tip
Atletico Mineiro to win
Odds
6.00
WonResult
1-2Final score
+5.00uProfit
17%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at BetOnline.ag
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Palmeiras are the strong favourites at 1.7, an implied probability of about 59%, underlining the market's clear lean toward the hosts.
02
Atletico Mineiro's 6.0 price implies only around 17% win probability, so a victory would be against the market's expectations.
03
The recommended bet on Atletico Mineiro carries a value edge of roughly 4.15%, meaning the 6.0 price is judged slightly generous versus their fair chance.
04
The draw is priced at 3.85, implying about 26%, sitting between the two sides and reflecting a match the market sees as leaning one way.
Team form
PAL Palmeiras DWDDW
20 Sept 26 @ Grêmio 0-0
12 Sept 26 vs São Paulo 2-0
6 Sept 26 @ Botafogo 0-0
30 Aug 26 @ Mirassol 1-1
23 Aug 26 vs Vasco da Gama 4-1
AM Atletico Mineiro DWLWD
19 Sept 26 vs Chapecoense 1-1
12 Sept 26 vs Fluminense 3-1
5 Sept 26 @ São Paulo 0-2
29 Aug 26 vs Vitória 2-1
22 Aug 26 @ Internacional 0-0
Head-to-head: Palmeiras v Atletico Mineiro
Full H2H history → L 26 Jul 26
Palmeiras 1-2 MineiroBrasileirão
D 28 Jan 26
Mineiro 2-2 PalmeirasBrasileirão
W 4 Dec 25
Mineiro 0-3 PalmeirasBrasileirão
W 20 Jul 25
Palmeiras 3-2 MineiroBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Palmeiras's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Palmeiras vs Atletico Mineiro: pre-match preview
Palmeiras welcome Atletico Mineiro in this Brasileirao clash, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Palmeiras are priced at 1.7 with Nordic Bet, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 59% and marks them as clear home favourites. Atletico Mineiro, by contrast, drift out to 6.0 at BetOnline.ag, implying only about a 17% chance of taking all three points. The draw sits in between at 3.85, worth close to 26% in probability terms. Our model, however, flags the away side as the value angle here: it rates Atletico Mineiro's fair chance at 17% and highlights a value edge of around 4.15% at the 6.0 price. That does not make them likely winners, but it suggests the price is generous relative to their assessed probability. This preview leans on the numbers rather than form or team news.
Verdict: The recommended play is Atletico Mineiro to win at 6.0, backed by a modest 4.15% value edge rather than any expectation they are likely to win. This is a higher-risk underdog pick at long odds, so stake responsibly and treat it as a value angle, not a probable outcome.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-2, for a flat-stake return of +5.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 26 Jul 26
Draw (X)final score 1-2
3.85 -1.00u L 26 Jul 26
Under 2.5 goalsfinal score 1-2
1.85 -1.00u W 26 Jul 26
Over 2.5 goalsfinal score 1-2
2.06 +1.06u Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Palmeiras vs Atletico Mineiro?+
Our tip was Atletico Mineiro to win at odds of 6.00.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-2 (+5.00u at flat stakes).