Bayar Jiya Aiki Baje

Abin da ba da hankali ba ne

Mafi mahimmin ra'ayi a cikin dambe shine cewa sami masu faɗi jiya da samar da kudin dambe sune fasahohi daban-daban. Dambe akan babbar dan gida a girma 1.05 yana nasara sau tara a cikin goma kuma har yanzu ana rasa kudin, saboda farashin kudin ba ya bayar abin da kasua ta kamata. Dambe akan dan iska maidalla ɗan karamin girma 4.00 yana rasa sau bakwai a cikin goma kuma yana samar da riba, saboda farashin kudin ba ya bayar fiye.

Jiya shine bambanci tsakanin girman dambe da yuwuwar gaskiya. Dambe ba tare da kuwa a cikin kasuwa ba ga kaida: kada kuma samar da jiya babu - komai kuma babe lokaci bukatu baje shine nishaɗi bisa kudin dambe.

Abin da ake sa ran a gida daya

Abin da ake sa ran (EV) a gida: (yuwuwar × girma) − 1. In ka lissafa karamin gida yuwuwa ta 45% kuma farashin kudin shine 2.40, EV = 0.45 × 2.40 − 1 = +0.08 — shekara eggsadah euro maidalla rana. A 2.10 sanannun lissafi yana ba −0.055: dambe maidalla kaura daidai yaya aiki ya ƙare.

Jiyya baje ta kasua ba ta da wakili; lissafin yuwuwar kuwa shi ke mahimmi. Jiyyan ka ta 45% ta dace da gaskiya fiye da yuwuwar kasua na 41.7% (a 2.40, baje don kasua) don jiya ta zama na gaske. Haka ne sarari mafi girma game da kasuan gidankullin Ingila.

Inda jiya ke kuna

Kasua maje kamar Premier League jiya na daidaita - mutane dubu da dubu masu ƴa-taɗawa sun tura farashin kusa da gaskiya. Masu nema jiya suna kallon wuri inda hankalin abin kusan karai - ƙananan jiya kasua, matakin dambe, jiya takaice kafin kasua ta shagale, da bambancin farashin tsakanin masana'anta dambe.

Duba takaice farashin shine tushen jiya da kuke ba kowa na tare da kusan lissafi: abubuwan farashin da kuke amfani dasu a kasua daban-daban sune 3–8% mafi kyau fiye da jiya matsakaita. Yin amfani da 2.02 maimakon 1.90 akan sanannun abin dambe ba ya bukaci lissafi fa-koli, amma gidaje karin.

Yadda masu sauri namu suke kula da haka

Masu kuskura namu sune lissafa yuwuwar sauran jiya dambe (Poisson tsarin daidaita da farashin kasua), yin jiya dambe gida ma'ana kuma tare da abubuwan farashin maidalla da jiya adunsantau. Lokacin da farashin kudin ya kai maidalla jiya jiya gida da girma da yawa, sauki yana karɓa jiya tabbaci - haka ne lambar Edge shafi a masu sauri dambe.

Gaskiya cikakke baje: masu lissafa jiya sune lissafi da kuskurar iya, jiya na karamin kashi dace a iya kasua, kuma har yanzu jiya dambe ba tare gina cikakken kasua ba - jiya dambe kudin dambe sune daɓi akan dambe daribi daribi, ba a cikin mako - abubuwan dambe kudin dambe jiya ta dadowa shine ɗalilin shirye su ga iyakacin abubuwan jiya namu ba.

Alɓele ya ba da misali

Ka lissafa jiya a 30% (girman dambe gida 3.33). Masana'anta A ya nuna girman dambe 3.10 — EV maidalla, ji jiyu. Masana'anta B ya nuna girman dambe 3.60: EV = 0.30 × 3.60 − 1 = +0.08. Dambe daidai, lissafin daidai, ɗaya baje kuma ɗaya kyau. Kasua ta yanke shawarar - ba asalin dambe ba.

Abubuwan da suke muhimmi

Jiya = farashin da suke bisa yuwuwar gaskiya; EV = (yuwuwar × girma) − 1.

Masu faɗi jiya a taɗi karai sune iya kasuar maidalla; masu yatsan jiya a girma girma iya kasuar maidalla.

Duba karera farashin a masana'anta daban-daban shi ne jiya buƙacin kusan lissafi.

Jiya na ainihi karai ne, gida kuma gaskiya kuwa waje a dambe daɗi.

Tambayoyi da ajiyan amsa

Tambayoyi da aka gayita sosai

Yadda zan sanin cewa lissafin yuwuwar nawa sune maidalla?

Bi su tare da farashin dambe ta karshe: in ka dambe jiya a gidaje duka lokaci, lissafin nawa na jiniya gaskiya. Kallon haka zai nufo a cikin jiya maidalla, kamar kafin abubuwan riba cika.

Shin jiya dambe daidai ne da waje-jiya?

A'a. Waje-jiya tskera karantawa ɗan karai tabbaci ta rufewar duka abin dambe a masana'anta daban-daban; jiya dambe tara abin dambe ɗaya a farashin ta yi tunanin baje. Jiya dambe iya rasa wa watanni ko da ba tare kyau ba.

Zan iya yin jiya dambe babe karai kudin dambe?

Jiyya-lissafi tana aiki a kowane girma, amma bambancin yuwuwar ne mahimmaci: ko da tare jiya na ainihi 5%, dambe 100 rasa dambe zai samu. Jiya daidai-daidai da kasuwa na nishaɗi sune sharti, ba bugun riko ba.