Baji daya, gidaje da yawa
Accumulator (acca, parlay, combo) yayi damre da sababbin zabbe a cikin baji guda. Kowane gida dole ne ya yi nasara; gida daya da ya yi kasua ya kunkusa jikin kasuwa. Sabuwar nan, odds suke yawaita ba kawai a tara, shi ke kawo da abin ke bayar muku riba babbar daga kasua karama.
Gidaje uku a 1.60, 1.75 da 1.90 suke damre zuwa 1.60 × 1.75 × 1.90 = 5.32. Acca €10 yana komawa €53.20 idan duk gidaje ya yi nasara — sai daidai da €7.30 jiya na riba gida acca da ka raba €10 a gida uku na gida daya za a sami.
Abin da yawaita ke yi zuwa damar riba
Odds suke yawaita, amma kuma daman — zuwa gida karama. Idan kowane gida daga waɗannan gida uku yana da damar gaskiya 60%, acca yana yi nasara 0.6 × 0.6 × 0.6 = 21.6% na lokacin. Gida biyar: 7.8%. Gida takwas: kasa 2%.
Wannan shine canji da kowane acca ke yi: riba babbar, hit rate karama sosai. Babu abin da ya yi kuskure game da wannan canji idan ka ji sanin abin da kake yi da sake-sake adadi karama — karama karama, kudin da za ka iya rashin shi gaba-gaba.
Margin kuma yana yawaita
Kowane gida yana dauke da margin na bookmaker, da yawaita gidaje yana yawaita margin kuma. Idan bookmaker ke adana ~5% na kowane gida, treble yana bake cikin kusan 14% na damre margin, da shida-fold saman 25%. Accas dogon jiya shine gida daya daga mafi tsada bajen a menu.
Ɗari na aiki-aiki: adana accas karama (2–4 gida), da sha price-shop kowane gida daban — karama price improvement na gida gida yana yawaita a fanninka daidai yadda margin ke yawaita ki kai.
Yadda gida-gida namu ke yi daidai da accas
Accumulator jiya na kowacce rana yana damre da zabbe mafi yawa-yawa daga jarabe daban — yawa daidai, a niyya na gari ƴ ɗigali longshots a cikin lottery kasuwa. Damre odds da price na kowane gida ana nuni a fili, da acca calculator karkataɗa ya ba ka damar gina ko gyara kasuwa kamar da ganin lissafi kafin ka di abin da.
Aiki daidai da kowane acca — nawa da muke — azaman nishaɗi tare da sanin farashi, ba plani na shiga. Babu model da za a canja lissafi-lissafi na yawaita daman.
Misali
Sanninni
Gidaje hudu a 1.50 kowa-kowa: damre odds 5.06. Idan kowane gida damar gaskiya shine 66.7% da price ke nuni, acca yana bugi 19.7% na lokacin — kusan mako daya a biyar. Komawa €50.60 a kasua €10 yana jin da kyau daidai har sai ka karbi gidaje hudu suka yi kasua sai.
- Duk gidaje dole ne ya yi nasara; odds — da margins — suke yawaita.
- Hit probability yana bugi bakin-bakin tare da kowane gida da aka taba: gida biyar 60% daman suke yi nasara kasa 8% na lokacin.
- Accas karama (2–4 gida) tare da zabbe sha wannan tsari shine mafi karama iko na format.
- Kasua karama: sifa ta musamman ta accas ita ce cewa yawancin su suke asanta.
Tambayoyi da aka gayita sosai
Shin accumulator ya fi singles?
Lissafi-lissafi muni a expected value, saboda margins yana yawaita a gidaje. Singles suke adana yafi edge idan kana da gida; accas suke sake expected value don damar kundi babbar a kasua karama.
Menene da ya faru idan wasanni a cikin acca na aka jeni?
Yawancin bookmakers suke bata gida da sake lissafi acca a ƴ damre odds na gidaje da aka bari, don gida hudu ya zama treble. Dubi sashe na bookmaker gida — jijiya na abin da aka bari taba.