Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Explained

Kasuwa mafi sauƙi a wasan ƙafa

Both Teams to Score yana jiyan tambaya ɗaya kawai: kowa a jikin gida da baje zai yi iyaka ɗaya sannu a cikin lokaci na kaida? A 1-1, 4-1 ko 2-3 duk sai da sai; a 0-0, 3-0 ko 0-2 ba sai ba. Own goals suna ɗaya a cikin ƙungiya da aka bayani a jikin nasara; lokaci na jiya ba ya ƙunsu a kasuwan na zamani.

Sha'arinta psychologically da kuma ta ilmin lissafi: BTTS Yes jaka tana hayowa a cikin wasa har zuwa ƙarshe ba tare da mutum yawan yin nasara ba, wanda ya sa shi daya daga cikin kasuwan da aka kalaba sosai a jerin ƙafa.

Abin da ya sa yiwuwa BTTS gaske

BTTS Yes yana buƙatar saidun biyu su yi aiki da saidun biyu su kasa sannu ɗaya aƙalla. Ƙididdiga da aka shiga shi ne ima masu yin nasara da kuma ƙungiyar da ke ɓacin nasara — ba haɗe su ba. Ƙungiya da ta ƙi-rashin-waje zata iya zama zaɓi mara kyau na BTTS duk da manyan jiya, domin sa'antattun gida tana ɗaga mutuwa.

A yanayin Poisson (nau'in ƙira da rukunin yanzu nake amfani), yiwuwa BTTS Yes shine 1 − P(home blanks) − P(away blanks) + P(both blank). Kaida na BTTS Yes a cikin ƙungiyar sama-sama suna kusan 50–53%, wanda ya sa farashin suka kasance tsakanin 1.80 da 2.00 a bangarorin biyu.

Karanta ƙididdiga ba tare da haɗar kanka ba

Sigina da suka fi amfani: kashi na waje marasa nasara a bangarorin biyu, kashi na da suka kasa yin nasara, da kuma abin da aka buƙata a yunkurin nasara (xG don gida da kuma waje) saida ga jita-jita marasa daraja. Jiya gida biyar na BTTS Yes a cikin ƙwara biyar shine gutsutsa — kaida-kaida na jerin kirkaryi da kuma ƙungiyar da ke ɓacin nasara suna ɗa ƙwaƙwalwar sakamako.

Halin gida yana sauya lambar: rashin zaɓin na gida ko kuma likita na waje suna tura zuwa Yes; waje inda ɗaya jikin gida ke zaune gida (babbar ƙungiya waje, karaje da ke aiwatar) suna tura zuwa No. Dabbobi suna tunanin kuma cikin jiya; a tarihi suna kusan kaida kaida.

Yadda muke aiki da farashi

Ƙirar yanzu tana samun ima-ima da kuma ɓacin nasara masu ƙada tarihi, samu yiwuwa BTTS, da haɗe su da farashi na bucci — BTTS ƙabe suna bayyana a cikin jigon gida idan farashi ya haɗu da ƙirar yanzu ta kyau. A gaske kamar kowane kasuwa: ƙididdiga na karori ne, wasan ɗaya-ɗaya sune coin flips a kusa gida, da babu BTTS jiya da ɓoye da abin da ya sa da mahimmanci.

Misali mai aiki

Jikin gida yana yin nasara a cikin 78% na waje na gida da kuma yana ɓacin nasara a 55%; jikin waje yana yin nasara a cikin 60% na waje waje da kuma yana ɓacin nasara a 70%. Kimantawa na buɗu: P(both score) ≈ 0.78 × 0.60 daidai da ɗacin nasara — ƙira yanzu tana zuwa 56%. Kyawawan farashi ≈ 1.79, saboda farashi 1.95 yana dauke da ƙidar abin da aka buƙata; farashi 1.70 ba haka ba ne, ko ma wasa ya buɗe.

Muhimman abubuwa

BTTS Yes = saidun biyu suna yin nasara a cikin mintuna 90 da dakali; jiya ba ya ƙunsu.
Saidun sune yin nasara da rashin nasara na ƙungiya ɗaya, ba haɗe su ba.
Kashi na waje marasa nasara da kashi na da suka kasa yin nasara suna karewa jita-jita marasa daraja.
Farashi suna tunda kusan daidai domin kaida kaida tana kusan 50%.

Tambayoyi da aka gayita sosai

Shin jiya tana ƙunsu a BTTS?

Kasuwan BTTS na zamani suna bugi akan mintuna 90 da dakali kawai. Kasuwan ta baba na 'don samun izini' ko jiya-kasuwa sune abubuwan daban-daban da ƙananan dokoki — duba suna kasuwa jiya da kyau.

Shin BTTS ya fi kyau fiye da gida 2.5?

Suna haɗa amma suna amsa tambayoyi daban-daban: nasara 2-0 tana cin gida gida da kuma ta kashe BTTS; nasara 1-1 tana cin gida BTTS da kuma ta kashe gida. Zaɓi kasuwa da ya dace da gaskiyar ganin ka — saidun biyu da ke aiki (BTTS) saida ga tumanin nasara na gaba (gida).

Menene a BTTS a cikin jinya?

Suna cika domin kusan daidai farashi suna gina babbar haɗi da sauri — amma legging gida biyar ~52% suna cin gida kasa 4% na lokaci, da kuma kowane legging yana dauke da ƙarfi. Yi la'akari da BTTS jinya a matsayin ƙaramin-sarkin shaƙalwa.