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| # | League | Matches | Home % | Draw % | Away % | Goals/game | BTTS % | Over 2.5 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Serie A | 380 | 38.9% | 26.1% | 35% | 2.43 | 45.3% | 45.8% |
| 2 | Primeira Liga | 306 | 41.2% | 27.1% | 31.7% | 2.68 | 48% | 53.9% |
| 3 | Championship | 557 | 41.7% | 26.6% | 31.8% | 2.59 | 56.6% | 50.4% |
| 4 | Premier League | 380 | 42.6% | 27.4% | 30% | 2.75 | 56.1% | 55% |
| 5 | Eredivisie | 306 | 44.4% | 26.1% | 29.4% | 3.18 | 62.7% | 61.8% |
| 6 | Bundesliga | 306 | 43.8% | 24.5% | 31.7% | 3.24 | 61.8% | 63.7% |
| 7 | Ligue 1 | 305 | 46.2% | 24.3% | 29.5% | 2.83 | 50.8% | 52.8% |
| 8 | Primera Division | 380 | 48.9% | 24.5% | 26.6% | 2.69 | 56.6% | 50% |
| 9 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | 585 | 48.9% | 27% | 24.1% | 2.55 | 50.9% | 47% |
| 10 | UEFA Champions League | 378 | 50.5% | 15.6% | 33.9% | 3.42 | 55.3% | 65.9% |
Ranked by how evenly outcomes are spread (the gap between the most and least common result) — a smaller gap means a league is harder to call from the table position alone.
What the data says
Three patterns stand out. Home advantage is alive everywhere but far from uniform — the strongest home leagues sit around 50.5% home wins, while the flattest are near 38.9%. Draw rates cluster in the mid-twenties, which is exactly why bookmakers can price the draw generously and why our model runs a dedicated draw-value track. And goals vary by almost a full goal per game between the highest and lowest scoring competitions — the difference between an Over 2.5 league and an Under league is structural, not luck.
For bettors the lesson is to price the league, not just the teams: identical odds mean different things in a league where 47% of games go to the home side versus one where 38% do. Our match pages surface this context automatically — every fixture shows both teams' form, the head-to-head history and the league table next to the market prices.
Methodology: all completed fixtures in our football-data.org snapshot (current plus previous season per league). Percentages are shares of played matches; the page recomputes on every daily refresh as new rounds finish.