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แ แแญแ โฝ Serie A ๐ Sat ยท 16:30
Our tip
Over 2.5 goals
Odds
2.09
โ
Official pick โ published to our graded record ยท backed by our goal model
ConfidenceValue ยท 50%
AI Value edge 4.14% ยท best price at 1xBet
Bet at 1xBet Our prediction
Key factors behind our tip
01
Sassuolo are favourites at 2.45 (about 41% implied), but the margin over Torino at 3.20 (about 31%) is slim.
02
The draw is priced at 3.39, implying roughly 30% and underlining a competitive, closely matched market.
03
The recommended pick is Over 2.5 goals at 2.1, with a modest 3.8% value edge and 49% implied confidence.
04
No match-result value picks cleared our threshold, so the goals market is the only qualifying angle.
Most likely scorelines
Both teams to score: 57%| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.6% | 8.62 |
| 1-0 | 9.4% | 10.68 |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | 10.79 |
| 2-0 | 7.5% | 13.37 |
| 0-1 | 7.3% | 13.77 |
| 1-2 | 7.2% | 13.91 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.60 and 1.24. These six scorelines cover 52% of all outcomes โ the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Team form
SAS Sassuolo LLLLW
23 Aug 26 @ Atalanta 1-2
24 May 26 @ Parma 0-1
17 May 26 vs Lecce 2-3
8 May 26 @ Torino 1-2
3 May 26 vs Milan 2-0
TOR Torino LDLWL
23 Aug 26 vs Milan 1-2
24 May 26 vs Juventus 2-2
17 May 26 @ Cagliari 1-2
8 May 26 vs Sassuolo 2-1
2 May 26 @ Udinese 0-2
Head-to-head: Sassuolo v Torino
Full H2H history โ L 8 May 26
Torino 2-1 SassuoloSerie A
L 21 Dec 25
Sassuolo 0-1 TorinoSerie A
W/D/L shown from Sassuolo's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Best odds across bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท SAS | X | 2 ยท TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.45 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.35 | 3.55 |
| Matchbook | 2.30 | 3.35 | 3.55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30 | 3.45 | 3.30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30 | 3.45 | 3.30 |
| Coolbet | 2.30 | 3.35 | 3.37 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
Sassuolo vs Torino: match preview
Sassuolo host Torino in this Serie A fixture, and the market leans toward the home side. At a best price of 2.45, Sassuolo carry an implied probability of roughly 41%, making them modest favourites rather than a standout pick. Torino, priced at 3.20 with Tipico, sit at about 31% in probability terms, while the draw at 3.39 translates to close to 30%. Those figures point to a reasonably open contest, with the outright winner far from settled. Rather than backing a side, our model steers toward the goals market: Over 2.5 goals at 2.1 with 1xBet, carrying a market-implied confidence of 49% and a small value edge of 3.8%. That edge reflects a slight lean toward an entertaining, higher-scoring game rather than a cagey, low-goal affair, and it is the only selection clearing our threshold here.
Verdict: Our recommended bet is Over 2.5 goals at 2.1, backed by a small 3.8% value edge and near-even 49% confidence. This is a marginal call rather than a strong lean, so treat it as a low-conviction pick and stake within sensible bankroll limits.
Upcoming Serie A fixtures
All Serie A tips โ| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 16:30 | Bologna v Lazio | 3.40 | 2.34 | 3.55 |
| 24 Aug 18:45 | AS Roma v Fiorentina | 1.77 | 4.01 | 5.40 |
| 28 Aug 18:45 | AC Milan v Venezia | 1.40 | 5.06 | 10.50 |
| 29 Aug 16:30 | Monza v Udinese | 3.65 | 3.31 | 2.40 |
| 29 Aug 16:30 | Fiorentina v Frosinone | 1.69 | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| 29 Aug 18:45 | Juventus v Parma | 1.24 | 7.31 | 18.00 |
| 30 Aug 16:30 | Napoli v Como | 2.66 | 3.31 | 3.20 |
| 30 Aug 18:45 | Cagliari v Inter Milan | 9.00 | 4.54 | 1.52 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Serie A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 | Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 | Lecce | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 | Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Cagliari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Udinese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Bologna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Lazio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Torino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Frosinone | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Parma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Venezia FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Monza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What is the prediction for Sassuolo vs Torino?+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.09, with a 50% confidence rating.
Who is the favourite for Sassuolo vs Torino?+
Sassuolo are the favourites at a best price of 2.45, implying around 41%. Torino are priced at 3.20 (about 31%), so the gap is fairly narrow.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is available at 3.39 with 1xBet, which implies roughly a 30% chance and reflects a closely priced contest.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
The only selection clearing our threshold is Over 2.5 goals at 2.1, with a small 3.8% value edge. No match-result outcome offered value above our consensus threshold.
When does the match kick off?+
Sassuolo vs Torino takes place Sat ยท 16:30 in the Serie A.