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แ แแญแ โฝ Serie A ๐ Sat ยท 18:45
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
2.35
โ
Official pick โ published to our graded record ยท backed by our goal model
ConfidenceValue ยท 51%
AI Value edge 19.14% ยท best price at 1xBet
Bet at 1xBet Our prediction
Most likely scorelines
Both teams to score: 36%| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 18.0% | 5.55 |
| 2-0 | 13.8% | 7.23 |
| 0-0 | 11.7% | 8.53 |
| 1-1 | 10.9% | 9.15 |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | 11.90 |
| 0-1 | 7.1% | 14.06 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.54 and 0.61. These six scorelines cover 70% of all outcomes โ the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Team form
JUV Juventus WDLWD
23 Aug 26 @ Frosinone 1-0
24 May 26 @ Torino 2-2
17 May 26 vs Fiorentina 0-2
9 May 26 @ Lecce 1-0
3 May 26 vs Verona 1-1
PAR Parma LWLLL
22 Aug 26 vs Cagliari 0-1
24 May 26 vs Sassuolo 1-0
17 May 26 @ Como 1907 0-1
10 May 26 vs Roma 2-3
3 May 26 @ Inter 0-2
Head-to-head: Juventus v Parma
Full H2H history โ W 1 Feb 26
Parma 1-4 JuventusSerie A
W 24 Aug 25
Juventus 2-0 ParmaSerie A
W/D/L shown from Juventus's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Best odds across bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท JUV | X | 2 ยท PAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.22 | 7.31 | 17.50 |
| Betfair | 1.21 | 7.20 | 18.00 |
| Matchbook | 1.21 | 7.20 | 17.50 |
| Coolbet | 1.21 | 7.15 | 15.70 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.24 | 6.50 | 14.00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.24 | 6.50 | 14.00 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
Juventus vs Parma: match preview
Juventus open their Serie A meeting with Parma as strong home favourites, priced at 1.42 by 1xBet. That figure translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 70%, leaving little doubt about which way the bookmakers lean. Parma and the draw are both quoted at 6.41, each pointing to around 16% in implied terms, a clear signal that the market views the visitors and a stalemate as roughly equal long shots. Rather than backing the obvious short favourite, our model looks to the goals market. It recommends Under 2.5 goals at 2.38, flagging a value edge of about 17.81% against a market-implied confidence near 50%. In other words, the pricing on a lower-scoring game appears generous relative to our estimate, making the total, not the result, the focus of this preview for the Juventus versus Parma fixture.
Verdict:
Upcoming Serie A fixtures
All Serie A tips โ| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 16:30 | Bologna v Lazio | 3.40 | 2.34 | 3.55 |
| 24 Aug 18:45 | AS Roma v Fiorentina | 1.77 | 4.01 | 5.40 |
| 28 Aug 18:45 | AC Milan v Venezia | 1.40 | 5.06 | 10.50 |
| 29 Aug 16:30 | Monza v Udinese | 3.65 | 3.31 | 2.40 |
| 29 Aug 16:30 | Fiorentina v Frosinone | 1.69 | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| 29 Aug 16:30 | Sassuolo v Torino | 2.30 | 3.45 | 3.55 |
| 30 Aug 16:30 | Napoli v Como | 2.66 | 3.31 | 3.20 |
| 30 Aug 18:45 | Cagliari v Inter Milan | 9.00 | 4.54 | 1.52 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Serie A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 | Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 | Lecce | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 | Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Cagliari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Udinese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Bologna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Lazio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Torino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Frosinone | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Parma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Venezia FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Monza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What is the prediction for Juventus vs Parma?+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.35, with a 51% confidence rating.
When does the match kick off?+
Juventus vs Parma takes place Sat ยท 18:45 in the Serie A.