La Liga 2 · Sat · 15:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
The match-result prices are extremely close, with Almería at 2.65 (about 38% implied) and Sabadell FC at 2.8 (about 36%), a gap of just 0.15.
The draw at 3.25 implies roughly a 31% chance, reflecting a fixture the market rates as finely balanced.
Our recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.44 sits at around 39% implied confidence but carries a negative value edge of -4.1%.
No value picks cleared our threshold, signalling the odds are broadly in line with the model's expectations.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · SF | X | 2 · ALM |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.83 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.75 | 3.16 | 2.55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| Betsson | 2.65 | 3.10 | 2.52 |
| Nordic Bet | 2.65 | 3.10 | 2.52 |
| Tipico | 2.65 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Sabadell FC host Almería in La Liga 2, and the market sees this as a genuinely tight contest. Almería are the marginal favourites at 2.65 with 1xBet, which translates to roughly a 38% implied chance, while Sabadell FC are close behind at 2.8, or about 36%. The draw is priced at 3.25, implying around 31%. Those numbers underline how little separates the two sides in the eyes of the bookmakers, with less than a fifth of a point between the two match-result prices. Rather than picking a side, our model leans toward the goals market: Over 2.5 goals at 2.44, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 39%. It is worth noting the value edge here is negative at -4.1%, so this is a lean rather than a standout number. The pricing points to a balanced match where the total goals angle may be the more interesting route.
Verdict: The lean is Over 2.5 goals at 2.44, backed by roughly 39% implied confidence. Be aware the value edge is negative at -4.1%, so this is a modest angle rather than a strong edge. Treat it as a small-stakes play and manage your bankroll sensibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 17:00 | Celta Fortuna v Andorra CF | 3.95 | 2.97 | 2.42 |
| 24 Aug 19:30 | Granada CF v Mallorca | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.58 |
| 28 Aug 19:00 | Tenerife v Sporting Gijón | 2.23 | 3.33 | 3.45 |
| 29 Aug 17:00 | Leganés v CD Eldense | 2.25 | 3.44 | 3.30 |
| 29 Aug 17:00 | Albacete v Oviedo | 2.45 | 3.23 | 3.09 |
| 29 Aug 19:30 | Girona FC v Las Palmas | 1.73 | 3.81 | 4.99 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | Andorra CF v SD Eibar | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| 30 Aug 17:00 | Cádiz CF v Real Valladolid CF | 2.36 | 3.06 | 3.50 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.40, with a 41% confidence rating.
Almería are the narrow favourites at 2.65, implying about a 38% chance, just ahead of Sabadell FC at 2.8 (around 36%). The gap is small, so it is close to a coin-flip in the market's eyes.
The draw is priced at 3.25 with 1xBet, which implies roughly a 31% probability.
No value picks cleared our threshold. Our featured Over 2.5 goals at 2.44 actually shows a negative value edge of -4.1%, so it is a lean rather than a clear value bet.
Sabadell FC vs Almería takes place Sat · 15:00 in the La Liga 2.
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