La Liga 2 · Sun · 15:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
Andorra CF are favourites at 2.28, implying about a 44% win probability, ahead of Eibar at 3.1 (roughly 32%).
The draw is priced identically to an Eibar win at 3.1, showing the market rates a stalemate and an away win as near-equal outcomes.
No match-result selection cleared our value threshold, so the recommended edge sits in the goals market instead.
Over 2.0 goals at 1.73 carries a 52% implied confidence and a 15.47% value edge, the standout number in this data.
| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.4% | 8.07 |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | 8.60 |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | 10.94 |
| 2-0 | 8.6% | 11.66 |
| 0-1 | 8.4% | 11.90 |
| 0-0 | 7.9% | 12.69 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.48 and 1.06. These six scorelines cover 58% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · AC | X | 2 · SE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.26 | 3.35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.18 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| Tipico | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| Betsson | 2.25 | 3.05 | 3.10 |
| Nordic Bet | 2.25 | 3.05 | 3.10 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Andorra CF host SD Eibar in this La Liga 2 fixture, and the market leans clearly toward the home side. At a best price of 2.28, Andorra are the favourites, with those odds implying roughly a 44% chance of victory. Eibar are the outsiders at 3.1, translating to around 32% in probability terms, and the draw shares that same 3.1 price and implied figure. That tells you the market sees this as a contest with a modest home edge rather than a one-sided affair. Our model steers away from picking a straight winner and instead focuses on the goals market: Over 2.0 goals at 1.73 is the recommended bet, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 52% and a value edge of 15.47%. In short, the expectation here is for an open, goal-friendly match between Andorra CF and SD Eibar rather than a comfortable outright call.
Verdict: The recommended play is Over 2.0 goals at 1.73, supported by a 15.47% value edge and 52% implied confidence. It is a reasonable-risk selection rather than a certainty, relying on both teams contributing to an open game. Stake responsibly and keep it within your normal bankroll limits.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 17:00 | Celta Fortuna v Andorra CF | 3.95 | 2.97 | 2.42 |
| 24 Aug 19:30 | Granada CF v Mallorca | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.58 |
| 28 Aug 19:00 | Tenerife v Sporting Gijón | 2.23 | 3.33 | 3.45 |
| 29 Aug 15:00 | Sabadell FC v Almería | 2.83 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
| 29 Aug 17:00 | Leganés v CD Eldense | 2.25 | 3.44 | 3.30 |
| 29 Aug 17:00 | Albacete v Oviedo | 2.45 | 3.23 | 3.09 |
| 29 Aug 19:30 | Girona FC v Las Palmas | 1.73 | 3.81 | 4.99 |
| 30 Aug 17:00 | Cádiz CF v Real Valladolid CF | 2.36 | 3.06 | 3.50 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.20, with a 44% confidence rating.
Andorra CF are the favourites at a best price of 2.28, which implies about a 44% chance of winning. Eibar are the outsiders at 3.1, or roughly 32%.
The draw is available at 3.1, the same price as an Eibar win. That implies a draw probability of around 32%.
No match-result pick cleared our value threshold. The value flagged by our model is on Over 2.0 goals at 1.73, with a 15.47% edge and around 52% implied confidence.
Andorra CF vs SD Eibar takes place Sun · 15:00 in the La Liga 2.
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